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Modine Manufacturing stock

MODNYSE

Modine Manufacturing Company, IndustrialsISIN US6078281002

$106.10▼ $0.57 (−0.5%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

48Score 48 out of 100, Weak

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Price and trend

30 / 100

Price history

−28% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 50% below it.

Trend change

Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 36).

Distance to the high

The price is 65% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 97% (August 2007 to February 2009).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$154.46
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$213.01
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)36
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$91.39
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$306.89
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$5.67B
Div. yield
no dividend
44.3
includes one-off items, adjusted 18.4
12.1
on earnings for the next twelve months ($8.81 per share)
Fair value
$232.32

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Modine Manufacturing Company belongs to the Industrial (Machinery) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $5.64B, is number 105 of 194 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $3.18B (up 23.1% year on year) and earnings of $121.8M (down 33.8%).
  • For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $3.3B (up 3.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $7.20 (up 43.4%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 48 out of 100 (Weak): rank 836 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
  • Our model puts fair value at $232.32, with the price 54% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 28.9% a year through 2028 (estimates from 5 analysts).Growth 51
  • Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 12% a year since 2021, Industrial (Machinery) median 7.8%.Growth 51

Weaknesses

  • Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$37.6M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 53
  • Volatile share priceVolatility 75% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 60
  • Share price fell sharplyDown 30% over the last 12 months.Momentum 12
48/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

Its standout strength is valuation, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

The fundamentals are in the middle range.

Profit consistency80% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)−29%
ROIC (12 months)12.6%
Positive free cash flow70% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • price far below its 52-week high
  • high price swings
  • weak momentum

Valuation

Valuation signal

Possible value trap
Price
$106.67
Fair value
$232.32
Gap to fair value
−54%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $154.88 and expensive above $464.64 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $191.26, at 7.8% it would be $294.07.

Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50.

Valuation metrics

2.15
19.7
Fair value (model)
$232.32

From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 35.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 3% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2026: gross 23%, operating 11%, net 4%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.7
6.9x
2.17
Cash & equivalents
$150.6M

Moderate debt, and interest is adequately covered.

Earnings

Next earnings
3 Feb 2027in 83 days
Last reported
3 Nov 2026EPS reported $1.35 (expected $1.47)below expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have cut their 2028 earnings estimate by 5.9% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.

Fiscal 20274 analysts
Earnings per share
$7.20−4.3%
Revenue
$3.3B−18.7%
Fiscal 20285 analysts
Earnings per share
$9.80−5.9%
Revenue
$4.45B−4.5%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +12.9%

Expects margins and earnings to rise sequentially, driven by data centers; full-year outlook to be updated only once the pending transaction closes.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“As we currently look at the next several quarters, we expect that margins and earnings will increase sequentially through the year, driven by the data center trends and our material cost recovery plans.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 30 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q1 2027), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 4 insiders sold, $27.83M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Agen Brian JonSale

    10 Sept 2026, VP, CHRO

    Shares
    4,306
    Price
    $180.30
    Value
    $776,372
  • Agen Brian JonSale

    18 Jun 2026, VP, CHRO

    Shares
    38,282
    Price
    $295.17
    Value
    $11.3M
  • McGinnis Eric SSale

    18 Jun 2026, President, Commercial HVAC

    Shares
    1,020
    Price
    $295.07
    Value
    $300,966
Show 4 more
  • Ashleman Eric DSale

    16 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    15,000
    Price
    $288.54
    Value
    $4.33M
  • McGinnis Eric SSale

    1 Jun 2026, President, Commercial HVAC

    Shares
    24,002
    Price
    $287.89
    Value
    $6.91M
  • Laszlo Arthur Jr.Sale

    1 Jun 2026, President, Data Centers

    Shares
    900
    Price
    $295.76
    Value
    $266,184
  • McGinnis Eric SSale

    29 May 2026, President, Commercial HVAC

    Shares
    14,080
    Price
    $280.26
    Value
    $3.95M

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Modine Manufacturing

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

1023 rated companies in Industrials

Rank 836 of 1023
836/ 1023
This company
48
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 1,023 companies49 (median 53)4 below the median
GrowthMedian of 1,023 companies51 (median 63)12 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 1,023 companies53 (median 71)18 below the median
ValuationMedian of 977 companies with a value84 (median 64)20 above the median
StabilityMedian of 1,023 companies60 (median 65)5 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 1,023 companies49 (median 55)6 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 1,023 companies30 (median 60)30 below the median
MomentumMedian of 1,023 companies12 (median 59)47 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Industrial (Machinery)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 194 Industrial (Machinery) stocks

ETFs that hold Modine Manufacturing

Held by 9 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Mar 2026
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 6 Nov 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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