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MGE Energy stock

MGEENASDAQ

MGE Energy, Inc., UtilitiesISIN US55277P1049

$79.17▼ $0.36 (−0.5%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

58Score 58 out of 100, Neutral

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Price and trend

64 / 100

Price history

−5.8% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 2.1% above it.

Trend change

Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 73).

Distance to the high

The price is 6.0% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 37% (November 2024 to September 2026).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$73.73
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$77.54
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)73
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$68.49
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$84.23
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$3.01B
Div. yield
2.43%
12 months
18.7
19.3
on earnings for the next twelve months ($4.13 per share)
Fair value
$70.10

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • MGE Energy, Inc. belongs to the Regulated Electric industry (United States) and, with a market value of $2.99B, is number 67 of 79 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $743.65M (up 9.9% year on year) and earnings of $135.89M (up 12.7%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $778.44M (up 4.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $4.05 (up 8.8%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 58 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 54 of 201 in Utilities, median 54.
  • The P/E is 18.6 (Regulated Electric median 19.8, own median of recent years 25.8).
  • Our model puts fair value at $70.10, with the price 13% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for over 39 years.
  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.
  • High marginNet margin 20.6% over the last 12 months, Regulated Electric median 12.1%.Profitability 67

Weaknesses

  • Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$104.3M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 49
58/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strength is stability, while valuation and capital allocation hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)−65%
ROIC (12 months)6.8%
Positive free cash flow40% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • weak fundamentals

What lowers it

  • calm price action

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly overvalued
Price
$79.53
Fair value
$70.10
Gap to fair value
+13%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $58.42 and expensive above $87.62 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $56.26 (cash-flow model) and $83.94 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.4%. At 8.4% the fair value would be $63.94, at 6.4% it would be $81.05.

Valuation metrics

4.44
12.8
Fair value (model)
$70.10
Earnings part $83.94 (earnings per share $4.25 × 19.8)

Half from the dividend model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (19.8).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 42%, operating 23%, net 18%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.63
5.6x
1.09
Cash & equivalents
$10.54M

Moderate debt, and interest is adequately covered.

Earnings

Next earnings
23 Feb 2027in 103 days
Last reported
4 Nov 2026EPS reported $1.48 (expected $1.18)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20264 analysts
Earnings per share
$4.05+2.2%
Revenue
$778.44M+0.1%
Fiscal 20275 analysts
Earnings per share
$4.14+1.4%
Revenue
$823.67M+0.2%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $42,500 in total.

  • Berbee James GPurchase

    9 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    274.74
    Price
    $77.35
    Value
    $21,251
  • Berbee James GPurchase

    19 Aug 2026, Board

    Shares
    261.36
    Price
    $81.30
    Value
    $21,249

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at MGE Energy

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

201 rated companies in Utilities

Rank 54 of 201
54/ 201
This company
58
Sector median
54

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 201 companies67 (median 53)14 above the median
GrowthMedian of 201 companies59 (median 53)6 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 201 companies49 (median 52)3 below the median
ValuationMedian of 197 companies with a value47 (median 54)7 below the median
StabilityMedian of 201 companies70 (median 53)17 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 201 companies45 (median 40)5 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 201 companies64 (median 63)1 above the median
MomentumMedian of 201 companies63 (median 58)5 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Regulated Electric

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 79 Regulated Electric stocks

ETFs that hold MGE Energy

Held by 14 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 29 Feb 2024)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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