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MDU Resources Group stock

MDUNYSE

MDU Resources Group, Inc., UtilitiesISIN US5526901096

$19.44▲ $0.16 (+0.8%)Closing price of 11 Nov 2026

46Score 46 out of 100, Weak

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Price and trend

56 / 100

Price history

−8.9% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 5.4% below it.

Trend change

Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 51).

Distance to the high

The price is 15% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 63% (July 2008 to March 2009).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$19.03
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$20.54
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)51
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$18.39
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$22.80
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$4.09B
Div. yield
2.91%
12 months
21.7
18.6
on earnings for the next twelve months ($1.05 per share)
Fair value
$17.00

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • MDU Resources Group, Inc. belongs to the Regulated Gas industry (United States) and, with a market value of $4.09B, is number 22 of 27 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.88B (up 6.7% year on year) and earnings of $190.4M (down 32.3%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.99B (up 6.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.98 (up 5.1%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 46 out of 100 (Weak): rank 169 of 201 in Utilities, median 54.
  • The P/E is 21.7 (Regulated Gas median 19.6, own median of recent years 6.6).
  • Our model puts fair value at $17.00, with the price 14% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for over 36 years.
  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 50

Weaknesses

  • Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$285.28M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 50
  • Earnings per share fallingDown 13.8% a year since 2020.Growth 26
  • Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 3 times.Stability 58
46/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

The score is held back by momentum and growth.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

The fundamentals are in the middle range.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)−148%
ROIC (12 months)5.4%
Positive free cash flow50% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • weak fundamentals

What lowers it

  • calm price action

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly overvalued
Price
$19.44
Fair value
$17.00
Gap to fair value
+14%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $14.16 and expensive above $21.25 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $16.44 (cash-flow model) and $17.55 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.4%. At 8.4% the fair value would be $15.20, at 6.4% it would be $20.20.

Valuation metrics

2.88
12.2
Fair value (model)
$17.00
Earnings part $17.55 (earnings per share $0.90 × 19.6)

Half from the dividend model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (19.6).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 0.7% on the twelve months before. Up to 2021 the bars include businesses that were later spun off or sold. On a comparable basis, as restated in the SEC annual reports, revenue grew 7.2% a year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 22%, operating 15%, net 10%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.87
3x
0.88
Cash & equivalents
$27.62M

Debt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
4 Feb 2027in 84 days
Last reported
5 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.08 (expected $0.10)below expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20265 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.980.0%
Revenue
$1.99B0.0%
Fiscal 20275 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.060.0%
Revenue
$2.12B0.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +2.6%

2026 EPS guidance of $0.93 to $1.00 reaffirmed.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“Looking ahead, we are reaffirming our 2026 earnings per share guidance range of $0.93 to $1.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.

  • Kelley Charles MPurchase

    13 Feb 2026, Board

    Shares
    5,000
    Price
    $20.85
    Value
    $104,225

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at MDU Resources Group

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

201 rated companies in Utilities

Rank 169 of 201
169/ 201
This company
46
Sector median
54

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 201 companies48 (median 53)5 below the median
GrowthMedian of 201 companies26 (median 53)27 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 201 companies50 (median 52)2 below the median
ValuationMedian of 197 companies with a value48 (median 54)6 below the median
StabilityMedian of 201 companies58 (median 53)5 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 201 companies48 (median 40)8 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 201 companies56 (median 63)7 below the median
MomentumMedian of 201 companies44 (median 58)14 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Regulated Gas

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 27 Regulated Gas stocks

ETFs that hold MDU Resources Group

Held by 11 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS30.23%0.30%€2.28B
iShares Global Infrastructure UCITS ETF Accum USDCBUX0.12%0.65%€217.04M
Franklin U.S. Equity UCITS ETFFLXU0.10%0.20%€55.89M
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 3 Jul 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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