MCI Capital Alternatywna Spólka Inwestycyjna stock: fair value
MCI.WAThe fair value of MCI Capital Alternatywna Spólka Inwestycyjna under our model is $8.98, the price is 22% below.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Modestly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $6.42 and expensive above $14.97 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $14.81 (cash-flow model) and $3.16 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.6%. At 11.6% the fair value would be $7.74, at 9.6% it would be $10.85.
Where the number comes from
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14).
Ten-year cash-flow model from smoothed free cash flow and its past growth until it reaches 5.6%. Discounted at 10.6% (floor: government bond yield 5.6% plus 5 percentage points, since beta 0.81 times the risk premium would give less); no analyst estimates were available.
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the cash flow model arrives at $14.81 per share: free cash flow for the next ten years, each year discounted to today at 10.6%, plus the terminal value for the years after. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Year | Free cash flow | Source | Discount factor | Present value (discounted at 10.6%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $35.58M | extrapolated at 10.4% | 0.9045 | $32.18M |
| 2027 | $38.76M | extrapolated at 8.9% | 0.8181 | $31.71M |
| 2028 | $41.82M | extrapolated at 7.9% | 0.7400 | $30.95M |
| 2029 | $44.84M | extrapolated at 7.2% | 0.6693 | $30.01M |
| 2030 | $47.85M | extrapolated at 6.7% | 0.6054 | $28.97M |
| 2031 | $50.9M | extrapolated at 6.4% | 0.5475 | $27.87M |
| 2032 | $54.02M | extrapolated at 6.1% | 0.4952 | $26.75M |
| 2033 | $57.23M | extrapolated at 6.0% | 0.4479 | $25.64M |
| 2034 | $60.57M | extrapolated at 5.8% | 0.4052 | $24.54M |
| 2035 | $64.06M | extrapolated at 5.8% | 0.3665 | $23.47M |
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Sum of present values (ten years) | $282.08M |
| Terminal value: cash flow 2035 × (1 + 5.6%) / (10.6% − 5.6%) | $1.35B |
| Present value of terminal value (× 0.3665) | $495.6M |
| Equity value (sum plus present value of terminal value) | $777.68M |
| Shares (diluted) | 52.52M |
| Value per share (equity value divided by shares) | $14.81 |
| Earnings per share, last twelve months | $0.23 |
| × 14 (industry P/E) | $3.16 |
| Fair value (average of both parts) | $8.98 |
The model uses free cash flow after interest, which belongs to shareholders, discounted at the cost of equity. Net debt is therefore not deducted again.
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = PLN 3.9742)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 24 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.