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LyondellBasell Industries stock

LYBNYSE

LyondellBasell Industries N.V., Basic MaterialsISIN NL0009434992

$63.88▲ $1.30 (+2.1%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

63Score 63 out of 100, Neutral

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Price and trend

57 / 100

Price history

+47% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 17 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 0.8% below it.

Trend change

Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 44).

Distance to the high

The price is 22% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 17 years: 71% (January 2018 to March 2020).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$62.41
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$64.38
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)44
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$42.28
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$82.38
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$20.65B
Div. yield
4.32%
12 months
15.5
includes one-off items, adjusted 9
9.6
on earnings for the next twelve months ($6.68 per share)
Fair value
$99.47

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • LyondellBasell Industries N.V. belongs to the Chemicals (Specialty) industry (Netherlands) and, with a market value of $20.65B, is number 14 of 106 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $30.15B (down 25.2% year on year) and a loss of $743M.
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $32.72B (up 8.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $9.04 (up 373.1%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 63 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 158 of 461 in Basic Materials, median 57.
  • Our model puts fair value at $99.47, with the price 36% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 394% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 84
  • Below fair valuePrice 36% below the fair value of $99.47.Valuation 88
  • High dividend yieldDividend yield 4.32%, Chemicals (Specialty) median 1.97%.Capital allocation 69

Weaknesses

  • Margin fallingOperating margin −1.1%, average of the prior years 7.4% (to 2024).Profitability 46
  • Analysts expect falling earningsDown 17.5% a year through 2028 (estimates from 9 analysts).Growth 53
  • Turned to a lossEarnings per share from $4.24 in 2020 to −$2.35.Growth 53
63/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are valuation and fundamentals, while profitability and stability hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 62 to 63.

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency90% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)394%
ROIC (12 months)9.8%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • high price swings
  • cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly undervalued
Price
$63.88
Fair value
$99.47
Gap to fair value
−36%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $71.05 and expensive above $165.78 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

Calculated with a cost of equity of 9%. At 10% the fair value would be $84.49, at 8% it would be $121.51.

Valuation metrics

no data
8.3
Fair value (model)
$99.47

From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

19 years

In the quarter to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 10% on the same quarter a year earlier. Up to 2024 the bars include businesses that were later spun off or sold. On a comparable basis, as restated in the SEC annual reports, revenue grew 6% a year.

Margins

19 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 9%, operating −1%, net −2%. Last 12 months: net 4%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
1.2
−0.4x
1.78
Cash & equivalents
$3.23B

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
29 Jan 2027in 77 days
Last reported
30 Oct 2026EPS reported $2.54 (expected $2.57)in line with expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 3.3% since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202612 analysts
Earnings per share
$9.04−1.2%
Revenue
$32.72B−1.4%
Fiscal 202712 analysts
Earnings per share
$6.31+3.3%
Revenue
$31.6B+0.2%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +0.3%

2026 capex plan of $1.2 billion maintained; softer seasonal demand expected in the third quarter (one segment at about 70% utilization) and higher raw material costs to persist.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We continue to maintain our 2026 CapEx plan of $1.2 billion and expect sustaining CapEx to decrease by approximately $100 million following the divestiture of 4 European assets.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 31 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.

  • Kaplan Jeffrey ASale

    13 May 2026, EVP, Chief PC, Leg & Corp Ofc

    Shares
    10,000
    Price
    $74.16
    Value
    $741,573
  • Ai Investments Holdings LlcSale

    9 Mar 2026, Major holder

    Shares
    385,390
    Price
    $68.13
    Value
    $26.26M

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at LyondellBasell Industries

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

461 rated companies in Basic Materials

Rank 158 of 461
158/ 461
This company
63
Sector median
57

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 461 companies46 (median 49)3 below the median
GrowthMedian of 461 companies53 (median 54)1 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 461 companies84 (median 65)19 above the median
ValuationMedian of 421 companies with a value88 (median 69)19 above the median
StabilityMedian of 461 companies46 (median 67)21 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 461 companies69 (median 52)17 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 461 companies57 (median 51)6 above the median
MomentumMedian of 461 companies67 (median 50)17 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Chemicals (Specialty)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 106 Chemicals (Specialty) stocks

ETFs that hold LyondellBasell Industries

Held by 48 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Jul 2026)
  • Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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