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Lumentum Holdings stock

LITENASDAQ

Lumentum Holdings Inc., TechnologyISIN US55024U1097

$648.06▲ $62.49 (+10.7%)Closing price of 11 Nov 2026

50Score 50 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

45 / 100

Price history

+157% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 11 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 20% below it.

Trend change

Since June 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 43).

Distance to the high

The price is 43% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 11 years: 67% (January 2021 to October 2023).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$877.17
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$811.60
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)43
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$226.86
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$1,133.40
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$58.77B
Div. yield
no dividend
Loss
includes one-off items, adjusted 54.7
21.8
on earnings for the next twelve months ($29.67 per share)
Fair value
$914.48

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Lumentum Holdings Inc. belongs to the Communication Equipment industry (United States) and, with a market value of $58.77B, is number 5 of 55 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $3.01B (up 83.2% year on year) and a loss of $6.94B.
  • For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $6.55B (up 117.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $24.04 (up 187.2%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 50 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 610 of 857 in Technology, median 61.
  • Our model puts fair value at $914.48, with the price 29% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 46.1% a year through 2029 (estimates from 13 analysts).
  • More cash than debtCash $1.98B, financial debt $1.43B.

Weaknesses

  • Volatile share priceVolatility 101% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 47
  • Loss-makingLoss of $6.58B over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 57
  • Turned to a lossEarnings per share from $2.79 in 2021 to −$92.96.Growth 44
50/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strength is valuation, while growth and profitability hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

The fundamentals are in the middle range.

Profit consistency50% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)not measured
ROIC (12 months)20.4%
Positive free cash flow70% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • high price swings
  • price up very strongly over the past year
  • price far below its 52-week high

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly undervalued
Price
$648.06
Fair value
$914.48
Gap to fair value
−29%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $609.65 and expensive above $1,828.95 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).

Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.1%. At 10.1% the fair value would be $750.43, at 8.1% it would be $1,156.88.

Valuation metrics

no data
no data
Fair value (model)
$914.48

From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

15 years

In the twelve months to 26 Sep 2026, revenue rose 103% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2012, at about 11% per year.

Margins

15 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2026: gross 42%, operating 17%, net −230%. Last 12 months: net −100%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.31
−50x
1.61
Cash & equivalents
$1.98B

Debt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
2 Feb 2027in 82 days
Last reported
2 Nov 2026EPS reported $4.57 (expected $4.22)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have raised their 2028 earnings estimate by 12.4% since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202717 analysts
Earnings per share
$24.04+10.7%
Revenue
$6.55B+4.0%
Fiscal 202818 analysts
Earnings per share
$39.03+12.4%
Revenue
$10.4B+5.4%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +14.6%

Gross margin expansion, a first triple digit million OCS revenue quarter and a fourfold increase in pump laser shipments are expected, and no new guidance figures were given.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“After doubling shipments from fiscal Q3 to Q4, our guidance includes our first triple-digit OCS revenue quarter.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 11 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q4 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 8 insiders sold, $112.6M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Ali WajidSale

    1 Oct 2026, EVP & CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

    Shares
    24,542
    Price
    $1,048.50
    Value
    $25.73M
  • Wupen YuenSale

    29 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    307
    Price
    $945.00
    Value
    $290,115
  • Wupen YuenSale

    28 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $948.50
    Value
    $474,250
Show 42 more
  • Wupen YuenSale

    25 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $935.75
    Value
    $467,875
  • Wupen YuenSale

    24 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $921.07
    Value
    $460,535
  • Wupen YuenSale

    23 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $946.56
    Value
    $473,280
  • Wupen YuenSale

    22 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $935.55
    Value
    $467,775
  • Wupen YuenSale

    21 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $959.27
    Value
    $479,635
  • Wupen YuenSale

    18 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $920.00
    Value
    $460,000
  • Wupen YuenSale

    17 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $933.45
    Value
    $466,725
  • Wupen YuenSale

    16 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $856.83
    Value
    $428,415
  • Wupen YuenSale

    15 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $841.51
    Value
    $420,755
  • Wupen YuenSale

    14 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $862.14
    Value
    $431,070
  • Wupen YuenSale

    11 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $944.41
    Value
    $472,205
  • Wupen YuenSale

    10 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $961.44
    Value
    $480,720
  • Wupen YuenSale

    9 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $978.54
    Value
    $489,270
  • Wupen YuenSale

    8 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $895.99
    Value
    $447,995
  • Wupen YuenSale

    4 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $860.00
    Value
    $430,000
  • Wupen YuenSale

    3 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $870.01
    Value
    $435,005
  • Wupen YuenSale

    2 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $864.49
    Value
    $432,245
  • Wupen YuenSale

    1 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $901.04
    Value
    $450,520
  • Wupen YuenSale

    31 Aug 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $895.00
    Value
    $447,500
  • Wupen YuenSale

    28 Aug 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $940.95
    Value
    $470,475
  • Hurlston Michael E.Sale

    27 Aug 2026, President and CEO

    Shares
    548
    Price
    $958.66
    Value
    $525,346
  • Wupen YuenSale

    27 Aug 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $958.66
    Value
    $479,330
  • Wupen YuenSale

    26 Aug 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $882.15
    Value
    $441,075
  • Retort VincentSale

    25 Aug 2026, SEE REMARKS

    Shares
    38,663
    Price
    $852.59
    Value
    $32.96M
  • Kim JaeSale

    25 Aug 2026, SVP, GENERAL COUNSEL

    Shares
    12,000
    Price
    $852.58
    Value
    $10.23M
  • Wupen YuenSale

    25 Aug 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $856.65
    Value
    $428,323
  • Wupen YuenSale

    24 Aug 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $824.24
    Value
    $412,120
  • Wupen YuenSale

    21 Aug 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $898.15
    Value
    $449,075
  • Wupen YuenSale

    20 Aug 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    1,500
    Price
    $827.82
    Value
    $1.24M
  • Retort VincentSale

    20 Aug 2026, SEE REMARKS

    Shares
    2,483
    Price
    $827.82
    Value
    $2.06M
  • Kim JaeSale

    20 Aug 2026, SVP, GENERAL COUNSEL

    Shares
    1,904
    Price
    $827.82
    Value
    $1.58M
  • Retort VincentSale

    18 Aug 2026, SEE REMARKS

    Shares
    3,183
    Price
    $909.43
    Value
    $2.89M
  • Kim JaeSale

    18 Aug 2026, SVP, GENERAL COUNSEL

    Shares
    1,366
    Price
    $909.43
    Value
    $1.24M
  • Harris Isaac HosojiroSale

    2 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    1,416
    Price
    $1,000.08
    Value
    $1.42M
  • Harris Isaac HosojiroSale

    29 May 2026, Board

    Shares
    4,000
    Price
    $860.00
    Value
    $3.44M
  • Small IanSale

    21 May 2026, Board

    Shares
    4,954
    Price
    $868.07
    Value
    $4.3M
  • Wupen YuenSale

    18 May 2026, PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS

    Shares
    3,210
    Price
    $953.95
    Value
    $3.06M
  • Retort VincentSale

    18 May 2026, SEE REMARKS

    Shares
    3,183
    Price
    $953.95
    Value
    $3.04M
  • Kim JaeSale

    18 May 2026, SVP, GENERAL COUNSEL

    Shares
    1,422
    Price
    $953.95
    Value
    $1.36M
  • Ali WajidSale

    18 May 2026, EVP & CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

    Shares
    2,487
    Price
    $953.95
    Value
    $2.37M
  • Fletcher PamelaSale

    15 May 2026, Board

    Shares
    1,578
    Price
    $940.82
    Value
    $1.48M
  • Fletcher PamelaSale

    14 May 2026, Board

    Shares
    1,577
    Price
    $1,003.38
    Value
    $1.58M

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Lumentum Holdings

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

857 rated companies in Technology

Rank 610 of 857
610/ 857
This company
50
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 857 companies44 (median 59)15 below the median
GrowthMedian of 857 companies44 (median 68)24 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 857 companies57 (median 67)10 below the median
ValuationMedian of 788 companies with a value77 (median 52)25 above the median
StabilityMedian of 857 companies47 (median 67)20 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 857 companies50 (median 53)3 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 857 companies45 (median 59)14 below the median
MomentumMedian of 857 companies48 (median 56)8 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Communication Equipment

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 55 Communication Equipment stocks

ETFs that hold Lumentum Holdings

Held by 116 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2026, period end 27 Jun 2026
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 6 Nov 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 12 Nov 2026, previously Undervalued
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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