Deutsche Lufthansa stock
LHA.DEXETRADeutsche Lufthansa AG, IndustrialsISIN DE0008232125WKN 823212
52Score 52 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
60 / 100
Price history
+12% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 7.6% above it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 92).
The price is 13% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 77% (December 2017 to September 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$8.44
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$9.09
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)92
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$7.72
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$11.18
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Deutsche Lufthansa AG belongs to the Airlines and Airports industry (Germany) and, with a market value of $11.75B, is number 14 of 51 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $43.88B (up 5.4% year on year) and earnings of $1.48B (down 3%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $47.61B (up 8.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.98 (down 21%).
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- MEQIRI Score 52 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 757 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 11 (Airlines and Airports median 16.1, own median of recent years 6).
- Our model puts fair value at $31.16, with the price 69% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Below fair valuePrice 69% below the fair value of $31.16.Valuation 98
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 24.7% a year through 2028 (estimates from 14 analysts).Growth 70
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 59% since 2020.Capital allocation 18
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$1.94B over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 38
Its standout strengths are valuation and momentum, while profitability and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- high price swings
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $22.26 and expensive above $51.94 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $47.98 (cash-flow model) and $14.35 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.9%. At 9.9% the fair value would be $27.20, at 7.9% it would be $36.58.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (16.1).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 7.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 4% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 10%, operating 2%, net 3%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 5 Mar 2027in 112 days
- Last reported
- 3 Nov 2026EPS reported $1.17 (expected $0.87)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $0.98+1.0%
- Revenue
- $47.61B+0.4%
- Earnings per share
- $1.29+0.5%
- Revenue
- $49.9B+0.6%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: −6.1%Adjusted EBIT for 2026 is now EUR 1.7 billion to EUR 2.2 billion with only the upper end matching the earlier expectation; capacity is now broadly flat instead of 0% to 2% growth and 41 instead of 45 aircraft are due.
“For the full year 2026, we now expect adjusted EBIT to be between EUR 1.7 billion and EUR 2.2 billion. At the same time, we now expect our capacity to be broadly flat versus prior year compared to our previous expectations of growth of between 0% to 2%.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 4 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
What happened at Deutsche Lufthansa
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1018 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 52
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Airlines and Airports
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- LATAM Airlines GroupLTM $13.71B66
- Aeroports de ParisADP.PA $12.8B56
- Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V.PAC $12.36B73
- Cathay Pacific Airways0293.HK $11.81B62
- China Eastern Airlines600115.SS $11.65B32
- GMR AirportsGMRAIRPORT.NS $11.34B49
- ANA Holdings9202.T $9.73B67
- Japan Airlines9201.T $9.52B70
ETFs that hold Deutsche Lufthansa
Held by 125 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deka DAXplus Maximum Dividend UCITS ETFEL4X | 8.05% | 0.30% | €252.19M |
| Xtrackers MDAX ESG Screened UCITS ETF 1DXDGM | 6.34% | 0.40% | €74.76M |
| Amundi MDAX ESG UCITS ETFC007 | 6.31% | 0.30% | €182.95M |
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| iShares MDAX UCITS ETF (DE)EXID | 5.67% | 0.51% | €30.68M |
| iShares STOXX Europe 600 Travel & Leisure UCITS ETF (DE)EXV9 | 4.75% | 0.46% | €66.58M |
| First Trust Germany AlphaDEX UCITS ETFFTGG | 3.76% | 0.75% | €6.17M |
| Deka EURO iSTOXX ex Fin Dividend+ UCITS ETFELFC | 1.80% | 0.31% | €386.85M |
| Deka DAX ex Financials 30 UCITS ETFELF0 | 0.78% | 0.31% | €19.62M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 6 Nov 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.