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Kratos Defense & Security Solutions stock

KTOSNASDAQ

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US50077B2079

$34.75▼ $1.94 (−5.3%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

27Score 27 out of 100, Weak

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Price and trend

33 / 100

Price history

−55% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 43% below it.

Trend change

Since April 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 42).

Distance to the high

The price is 73% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 90% (October 2007 to January 2016).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$42.40
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$60.48
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)42
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$33.39
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$130.72
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
What would $1,000 in Kratos Defense & Security Solutions have become?Return triangle for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions
Market cap
$6.54B
Div. yield
no dividend
298.2
on reported earnings of the last twelve months
31.8
on earnings for the next twelve months ($1.09 per share)
Fair value
$11.61

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. belongs to the Aerospace & Defense industry (United States) and, with a market value of $6.54B, is number 59 of 114 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.35B (up 18.5% year on year) and earnings of $22M (up 35%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.8B (up 33.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.85 (up 53.6%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 27 out of 100 (Weak): rank 1011 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
  • The P/E is 298.2 (Aerospace & Defense median 31.3, own median of recent years 94.9).
  • Our model puts fair value at $11.61, with the price 199% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 28.5% a year through 2028 (estimates from 16 analysts).
  • More cash than debtCash $1.4B, financial debt $246M.Stability 64

Weaknesses

  • Richly valuedP/E 298.2, Aerospace & Defense median 31.3, own median 94.9.Valuation 14
  • Above fair valuePrice 199% above the fair value of $11.61.Valuation 14
  • DilutionShare count up 49% since 2020.Capital allocation 19
27/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

The score is held back by valuation and momentum.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 28 to 27.

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency40% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)below −500%
ROIC (12 months)0.4%
Positive free cash flow30% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • price far below its 52-week high
  • weak fundamentals
  • high price swings

What lowers it

  • price not overheated over the past year

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly overvalued
Price
$34.75
Fair value
$11.61
Gap to fair value
+199%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $7.74 and expensive above $23.23 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $19.58 (cash-flow model) and $3.65 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $9.73, at 7.8% it would be $14.46.

Valuation metrics

10.7
44.5
Fair value (model)
$11.61
Earnings part $3.65 (earnings per share $0.12 × 31.3)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (31.3).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 27 Sep 2026, revenue rose 28.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 8% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 22%, operating 2%, net 2%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.07
4.2x
5.42
Cash & equivalents
$1.4B

Low debt, and interest is adequately covered.

Earnings

Next earnings
22 Feb 2027in 101 days
Last reported
5 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.24 (expected $0.21)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202615 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.85+1.0%
Revenue
$1.8B+0.3%
Fiscal 202716 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.13+0.1%
Revenue
$2.2B−0.5%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: +12.5%

2026 organic revenue growth raised to 19% to 23% with margins expected to keep rising; the cash flow guidance was revised for working capital needs from the production ramp.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We are increasing our forecasted full year 2026 organic revenue growth up to 19% to 23%.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 4 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 11 insiders sold, $31.76M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Lund Deanna HSale

    26 Oct 2026, EVP & CFO

    Shares
    7,000
    Price
    $40.00
    Value
    $280,000
  • Carrai Phillip DSale

    15 Oct 2026, President, STC Division

    Shares
    6,500
    Price
    $39.86
    Value
    $259,117
  • Lund Deanna HSale

    21 Sept 2026, EVP & CFO

    Shares
    7,000
    Price
    $48.78
    Value
    $341,474
Show 28 more
  • Mendoza MarieSale

    15 Sept 2026, SVP & General Counsel

    Shares
    1,000
    Price
    $48.50
    Value
    $48,500
  • Carrai Phillip DSale

    15 Sept 2026, President, STC Division

    Shares
    6,500
    Price
    $47.83
    Value
    $310,901
  • Fendley Steven S.Sale

    24 Aug 2026, President, US Division

    Shares
    7,000
    Price
    $56.16
    Value
    $393,120
  • Jarvis Scot BSale

    18 Aug 2026, Board

    Shares
    10,000
    Price
    $63.50
    Value
    $634,961
  • Carrai Phillip DSale

    17 Aug 2026, President, STC Division

    Shares
    26,500
    Price
    $63.25
    Value
    $1.68M
  • Mendoza MarieSale

    17 Aug 2026, SVP & General Counsel

    Shares
    1,513
    Price
    $64.37
    Value
    $97,392
  • Demarco Eric MSale

    14 Aug 2026, President & CEO

    Shares
    300,000
    Price
    $64.33
    Value
    $19.3M
  • Carter David MSale

    5 Aug 2026, President, DRSS Division

    Shares
    4,000
    Price
    $55.90
    Value
    $223,599
  • Lund Deanna HSale

    3 Aug 2026, EVP & CFO

    Shares
    5,000
    Price
    $48.55
    Value
    $242,772
  • Fendley Steven S.Sale

    27 Jul 2026, President, US Division

    Shares
    7,000
    Price
    $47.13
    Value
    $329,910
  • Mendoza MarieSale

    15 Jul 2026, SVP & General Counsel

    Shares
    1,013
    Price
    $51.79
    Value
    $52,463
  • Carrai Phillip DSale

    15 Jul 2026, President, STC Division

    Shares
    6,500
    Price
    $50.63
    Value
    $329,105
  • Carter David MSale

    8 Jul 2026, President, DRSS Division

    Shares
    4,000
    Price
    $50.45
    Value
    $201,818
  • Lund Deanna HSale

    1 Jul 2026, EVP & CFO

    Shares
    5,000
    Price
    $52.85
    Value
    $264,270
  • Rock Stacey GSale

    30 Jun 2026, President, KTT Division

    Shares
    4,675
    Price
    $50.00
    Value
    $233,750
  • Fendley Steven S.Sale

    29 Jun 2026, President, US Division

    Shares
    7,000
    Price
    $48.37
    Value
    $338,556
  • Mendoza MarieSale

    15 Jun 2026, SVP & General Counsel

    Shares
    1,500
    Price
    $57.93
    Value
    $86,889
  • Carrai Phillip DSale

    15 Jun 2026, President, STC Division

    Shares
    6,500
    Price
    $57.74
    Value
    $375,323
  • Fendley Steven S.Sale

    8 Jun 2026, President, US Division

    Shares
    35,000
    Price
    $58.23
    Value
    $2.04M
  • Carter David MSale

    5 Jun 2026, President, DRSS Division

    Shares
    4,000
    Price
    $59.16
    Value
    $236,659
  • Lund Deanna HSale

    1 Jun 2026, EVP & CFO

    Shares
    5,000
    Price
    $63.74
    Value
    $318,676
  • Rock Stacey GSale

    28 May 2026, President, KTT Division

    Shares
    4,000
    Price
    $65.47
    Value
    $261,872
  • Fendley Steven S.Sale

    26 May 2026, President, US Division

    Shares
    7,000
    Price
    $57.24
    Value
    $400,693
  • Doorenbos BobbiSale

    26 May 2026, Board

    Shares
    2,500
    Price
    $57.29
    Value
    $143,225
  • Adelman JonahSale

    26 May 2026, President, ME Division

    Shares
    31,348
    Price
    $57.06
    Value
    $1.79M
  • Mendoza MarieSale

    15 May 2026, SVP & General Counsel

    Shares
    1,013
    Price
    $53.49
    Value
    $54,185
  • Carrai Phillip DSale

    15 May 2026, President, STC Division

    Shares
    6,500
    Price
    $52.13
    Value
    $338,847
  • Boyd Bradley LSale

    15 May 2026, Board

    Shares
    3,000
    Price
    $52.08
    Value
    $156,240

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Kratos Defense & Security Solutions

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

1018 rated companies in Industrials

Rank 1011 of 1018
1011/ 1018
This company
27
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 1,018 companies19 (median 53)34 below the median
GrowthMedian of 1,018 companies37 (median 63)26 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 1,018 companies18 (median 71)53 below the median
ValuationMedian of 974 companies with a value14 (median 64)50 below the median
StabilityMedian of 1,018 companies64 (median 65)1 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 1,018 companies19 (median 55)36 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 1,018 companies33 (median 59)26 below the median
MomentumMedian of 1,018 companies14 (median 57)43 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Aerospace & Defense

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 114 Aerospace & Defense stocks

ETFs that hold Kratos Defense & Security Solutions

Held by 13 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
VanEck Defense UCITS ETFDFEN1.53%0.55%€5.8B
Invesco Defence Innovation UCITS ETF AccumUSDIVDF1.41%0.35%€136.55M
Defiance Drone UCITS ETF USDDRON0.51%0.69%€32.6M
Show 5 more
Invesco NASDAQ Next Generation 100 UCITS ETF AccEQQJ0.35%0.25%€45.16M
State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY40.19%0.30%€5.36B
iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG0.12%0.43%€2.5B
iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG0.08%0.10%€395.74M
State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS0.06%0.45%€1.54B

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 28 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Original filings at the SECReport a data error

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 May 2011)
  • Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026, previously Fairly valued
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.
Full disclosures, methodology and data sourcesAll ratings of the last 12 monthsHow the score is calculated

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