Karat Packaging stock
KRTNASDAQKarat Packaging Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US48563L1017
70Score 70 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
51 / 100
Price history
+61% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 6 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 3.5% below it.
Since March 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 24).
The price is 35% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 6 years: 50% (July 2021 to March 2023).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$50.62
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$36.60
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)24
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$21.06
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$54.68
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Karat Packaging Inc. belongs to the Packaging & Containers industry (United States) and, with a market value of $706.55M, is number 26 of 34 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $467.74M (up 10.7% year on year) and earnings of $31.48M (up 5%).
- MEQIRI Score 70 out of 100 (Strong): rank 161 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
Show more
- The P/E is 15.1 (Packaging & Containers median 19.3, own median of recent years 15.2).
- Our model puts fair value at $54.04, with the price 32% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Below fair valuePrice 32% below the fair value of $54.04.Valuation 69
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 9 fiscal years from 2017 to 2025.Fundamentals 84
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 130% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 84
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 32% since 2020.Capital allocation 50
- Volatile share priceVolatility 52% a year over the last 12 months.
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and profitability.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- price far below its 52-week high
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $38.60 and expensive above $90.07 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $62.84 (cash-flow model) and $45.24 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $48.50, at 7.8% it would be $62.38.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (19.3).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 11% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2017, at around 16% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 37%, operating 9%, net 7%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 11 Mar 2027in 119 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.24 (expected $0.41)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $2.660.0%
- Revenue
- $524.91M0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $2.270.0%
- Revenue
- $569.39M0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +11.2%Low double-digit net sales growth expected for the third quarter and the full year; the margin outlook now includes tariff refunds, with no clear comparison to the old guidance.
“For the 2026 third quarter, we expect net sales to grow in the low double-digit range from the prior-year quarter.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $6,004 in total. One insider sold, $598,985 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Guo JianPurchase
9 Nov 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 162
- Price
- $37.06
- Value
- $6,004
- Cheng MarvinSale
8 Sept 2026, 10 percent owner, officer: VP-Manufacturing, Secy
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $48.50
- Value
- $97,000
- Cheng MarvinSale
4 Sept 2026, 10 percent owner, officer: VP-Manufacturing, Secy
- Shares
- 4,000
- Price
- $48.38
- Value
- $193,500
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Karat Packaging
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 70
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Packaging & Containers
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- TriMasTRS $1.37B52
- Myers IndustriesMYE $1.08B61
- ElopakELO.OL $1.02B61
- O-I GlassOI $795.88M34
- Zignago VetroZV.MI $626.6M50
- BEWiBEWI.OL $480.02M55
- Vetropack HoldingVETN.SW $455.3M40
- Groupe GuillinALGIL.PA $406.23M57
ETFs that hold Karat Packaging
Held by 7 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| WisdomTree US Equity Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTDY | 0.08% | 0.35% | €204.34M |
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.05% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| WisdomTree US High Dividend UCITS ETF AccWTD9 | 0.05% | 0.29% | €182.46M |
Show 3 more
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.03% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.01% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.01% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong since 10 Nov 2026, previously Neutral
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026, previously Fairly valued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.