Keyera stock
KEY.TOTSXKeyera Corp., EnergyISIN CA4932711001
51Score 51 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
40 / 100
Price history
+25% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 4.4% below it.
Since November 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 35).
The price is 14% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 79% (September 2014 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$38.03
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$38.36
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)35
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$29.21
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$42.65
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Keyera Corp. belongs to the Oil & Gas Midstream industry (Canada) and, with a market value of $10.76B, is number 17 of 38 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $4.81B (down 4% year on year) and earnings of $303.72M (down 11.2%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $7.11B (up 47.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.20 (down 8.4%).
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- MEQIRI Score 51 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 188 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
- The P/E is 73.5 because earnings over the last twelve months collapsed; on the expected earnings of the next twelve months it is 18.4 (Energy sector median 13.5). The P/E therefore does not count in the score.
- Our model puts fair value at $37.29, with the price 2% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 46.5% a year since 2020.Growth 72
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 38.5% a year through 2028 (estimates from 6 analysts).Growth 72
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 23 years.
Weaknesses
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$408.08M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 56
- High debtDebt 1.74 times equity (latest quarter), Energy sector median 0.36.Stability 50
- Margin fallingOperating margin 12.2%, average of the prior years 18.1% (to 2024).Profitability 35
Its standout strength is growth, while profitability and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk not measured
How well MEQIRI warnsFor stocks from Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, Canada, India and Brazil we only show crash risk once a separate backtest shows that it warns as well there as in the US and Europe.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $31.08 and expensive above $46.61 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.2%. At 9.2% the fair value would be $31.19, at 7.2% it would be $46.43.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; after a one-off collapse in earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 15.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 9% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 15%, operating 12%, net 6%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 11 Feb 2027in 91 days
- Last reported
- 10 Nov 2026EPS reported −$0.16 (expected $0.35)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 12.7% since 22 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $1.20−12.7%
- Revenue
- $7.11B+10.3%
- Earnings per share
- $2.12−1.8%
- Revenue
- $7.96B+1.9%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 22 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
What happened at Keyera
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
266 rated companies in Energy
- This company
- 51
- Sector median
- 60
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Oil & Gas Midstream
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Western Midstream PartnersWES $17.07B63
- Plains All American PipelinePAA $17.03B63
- Viper EnergyVNOM $14.77B55
- DT MidstreamDTM $12.14B60
- Antero MidstreamAM $9.46B65
- Koninklijke VopakVPK.AS $6.92B70
- South BowSOBO $6.9B62
- Hess MidstreamHESM $6.38B68
ETFs that hold Keyera
Held by 55 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR S&P Global Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF (Dist)ZPRG | 1.12% | 0.45% | €1.63B |
| Xtrackers MSCI Canada Screened UCITS ETF 1CD5BH | 0.65% | 0.35% | €1.2B |
| UBS MSCI Canada UCITS ETF CAD disUIM9 | 0.38% | 0.33% | €2.06B |
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| iShares MSCI Canada UCITS ETFSXR2 | 0.35% | 0.48% | €2.15B |
| iShares MSCI World Energy Sector UCITS ETF USD5MVW | 0.29% | 0.18% | €1.31B |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Energy UCITS ETF 1CXDW0 | 0.29% | 0.25% | €1.83B |
| iShares MSCI World Quality Dividend Advanced UCITS ETFQDVW | 0.11% | 0.38% | €1.62B |
| iShares MSCI World Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETF USDIS3T | 0.11% | 0.30% | €408.01M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = CA$1.4235)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 19 Jun 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.