Jungheinrich stock: fair value
JUN3.DEThe fair value of Jungheinrich under our model is $88.89, the price is 72% below.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $63.49 and expensive above $148.14 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $150.83 (cash-flow model) and $26.95 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.1%. At 8.1% the fair value would be $75.68, at 6.1% it would be $108.74.
Where the number comes from
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (23.8).
Ten-year cash-flow model from smoothed free cash flow and its past growth until it reaches 2.1%. Discounted at 7.1% (floor: government bond yield 2.1% plus 5 percentage points, since beta 1.13 times the risk premium would give less); no analyst estimates were available.
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the cash flow model arrives at $150.83 per share: free cash flow for the next ten years, each year discounted to today at 7.1%, plus the terminal value for the years after. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Year | Free cash flow | Source | Discount factor | Present value (discounted at 7.1%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $491.43M | extrapolated at 26.3% | 0.9334 | $458.68M |
| 2027 | $585.18M | extrapolated at 19.1% | 0.8712 | $509.79M |
| 2028 | $667.09M | extrapolated at 14.0% | 0.8131 | $542.41M |
| 2029 | $736.73M | extrapolated at 10.4% | 0.7589 | $559.12M |
| 2030 | $795.3M | extrapolated at 8.0% | 0.7083 | $563.34M |
| 2031 | $844.66M | extrapolated at 6.2% | 0.6611 | $558.44M |
| 2032 | $886.79M | extrapolated at 5.0% | 0.6171 | $547.21M |
| 2033 | $923.43M | extrapolated at 4.1% | 0.5760 | $531.85M |
| 2034 | $956.08M | extrapolated at 3.5% | 0.5376 | $513.96M |
| 2035 | $985.87M | extrapolated at 3.1% | 0.5017 | $494.66M |
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Sum of present values (ten years) | $5.28B |
| Terminal value: cash flow 2035 × (1 + 2.1%) / (7.1% − 2.1%) | $20.14B |
| Present value of terminal value (× 0.5017) | $10.1B |
| Equity value (sum plus present value of terminal value) | $15.38B |
| Shares (diluted) | 102.00M |
| Value per share (equity value divided by shares) | $150.83 |
| Earnings per share, last twelve months | $1.13 |
| × 23.8 (industry P/E) | $26.95 |
| Fair value (average of both parts) | $88.89 |
The model uses free cash flow after interest, which belongs to shareholders, discounted at the cost of equity. Net debt is therefore not deducted again.
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.