Holley stock
HLLYNYSEHolley Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US43538H1032
43Score 43 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
35 / 100
Price history
−39% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 6 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 20% below it.
Since April 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 47).
The price is 46% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 6 years: 88% (March 2022 to May 2025).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$2.56
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$2.93
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)47
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$2.10
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$4.39
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $625.32M (up 1.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.41 (up 127.1%).
- MEQIRI Score 43 out of 100 (Weak): rank 524 of 597 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $4.74, with the price 50% below it.
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 230% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 59
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 76% since 2020.Capital allocation 47
- Earnings per share fallingDown 20.1% a year since 2020.Growth 21
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.6 times.Stability 43
Its standout strength is valuation, while momentum and growth hold the score back.
computed just now
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 44 to 43.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansValuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $3.16 and expensive above $9.48 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 12.6%. At 13.6% the fair value would be $4.26, at 11.6% it would be $5.34.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, weak growth.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 27 Sep 2026, revenue rose 3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2018, at around 24% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 41%, operating 14%, net 3%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 3 Mar 2027in 110 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.06 (expected $0.07)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $0.41−0.1%
- Revenue
- $625.32M0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $0.390.0%
- Revenue
- $653.27M0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +6.4%The full-year guidance from last quarter was reaffirmed, with cost savings expected at or above the top of the $5 to $7 million range.
“For the full year '26, we expect these cost reduction initiatives to deliver at or above the top end of our $5 million to $7 million range by the end of the year.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 5 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $22,770 in total.
- Weaver JessePurchase
10 Nov 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 9,000
- Price
- $2.53
- Value
- $22,770
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Holley
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
597 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 43
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
ETFs that hold Holley
Held by 2 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.01% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.01% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 1 May 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.