Home Depot stock
HDNYSEThe Home Depot, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US4370761029
68Score 68 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
68 / 100
Price history
−6.1% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 5.5% above it.
Since December 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 63).
The price is 10% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 57% (February 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$310.95
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$332.94
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)63
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$281.15
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$391.05
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- The Home Depot, Inc. belongs to the Home Improvement industry (United States) and, with a market value of $350.5B, is the largest of 8 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $164.68B (up 3.2% year on year) and earnings of $14.16B (down 4.4%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $171.55B (up 4.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $15.00 (up 2%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 68 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 200 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 24.6 (Home Improvement median 22, own median of recent years 23).
- Our model puts fair value at $310.41, with the price 13% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for over 39 years.Capital allocation 89
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 95
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 22.1% in fiscal 2025, Home Improvement median 4.7%.Profitability 76
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 3.77 times equity (latest quarter), Consumer Cyclical sector median 0.91.Stability 51
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and capital allocation, while valuation and growth hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among the 100 largest stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 4 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 9 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- very large company
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $238.78 and expensive above $443.44 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $306.85 (cash-flow model) and $313.97 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is slightly above both parts; given how much the stock swings, that still counts as fair.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $284.20, at 7.8% it would be $349.76.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (22).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 2 Aug 2026, revenue rose 2.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 4% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 33%, operating 13%, net 9%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterMeaningfully leveraged, but the interest bill is comfortably covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 17 Nov 2026in 5 days
- Last reported
- 18 Aug 2026EPS reported $4.92 (expected $4.73)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $15.000.0%
- Revenue
- $171.55B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $15.91−0.1%
- Revenue
- $177.37B−0.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +1.9%The 2026 guidance was reaffirmed with comparable sales flat to up 2%, total sales up 2.5% to 4.5% and EPS flat to up 4%.
“We expect to continue to grow our market share and for our comp sales to range between flat to 2% growth, with total sales growth of between approximately 2.5% and 4.5%, reflecting the contribution of the GMS acquisition, new stores, new branches, and tuck-in acquisitions.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 18 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 4 insiders sold, $3.34M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Scardino Kimberly RSale
10 Sept 2026, SVP-Finance, CAO & Controller
- Shares
- 675
- Price
- $305.95
- Value
- $206,516
- Roseborough Teresa WynnSale
28 Aug 2026, EVP, Gen. Counsel & Corp. Sec.
- Shares
- 2,455
- Price
- $328.77
- Value
- $807,130
- Rowe Michael F.Sale
26 Aug 2026, EVP, Pro
- Shares
- 710
- Price
- $336.76
- Value
- $239,100
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- McPhail Richard VSale
19 Aug 2026, EVP & CFO
- Shares
- 5,989
- Price
- $348.40
- Value
- $2.09M
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Home Depot
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 68
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Home Improvement
The next smaller companies by market value
- Lowe's CompaniesLOW $129.94B69
- KingfisherKFI1.DE $8.03B61
- Floor & Decor HoldingsFND $5.32B59
- HORNBACH Holding AG & Co. KGaAHBH.DE $1.66B61
- Bourrelier GroupALBOU.PA $464.07M58
- Haverty Furniture CompaniesHVT $408.86M59
- Byggmax GroupBMAX.ST $387.22M60
ETFs that hold Home Depot
Held by 145 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xtrackers MSCI USA Consumer Discretionary UCITS ETF 1DXUCD | 7.20% | 0.12% | €150.96M |
| iShares S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary Sector UCITS ETFQDVK | 7.14% | 0.15% | €719.53M |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Consumer Discretionary Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDD | 6.88% | 0.15% | €123.56M |
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| Amundi S&P Global Consumer Discretionary ESG UCITS ETF Accum-DR EURWELJ | 5.84% | 0.18% | €644.77M |
| iShares MSCI World Consumer Discretionary Sector Advanced UCITS ETF36BB | 4.85% | 0.18% | €33.17M |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Consumer Discretionary UCITS ETF 1CXDWC | 4.34% | 0.25% | €388.27M |
| iShares Dow Jones Industrial Average UCITS ETF (DE)EXI3 | 4.03% | 0.51% | €322.26M |
| iShares MSCI USA Quality Dividend Advanced UCITS ETFQDVD | 2.75% | 0.35% | €777.04M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 1 Feb 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 3 Oct 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.