Grand City Properties stock
GYC.DEXETRAGrand City Properties S.A., Real EstateISIN LU0775917882
56Score 56 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
54 / 100
Price history
−30% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 14 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 15% below it.
Since December 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 66).
The price is 30% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 14 years: 75% (August 2018 to March 2023).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$8.32
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$10.06
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)66
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$7.26
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$12.28
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Grand City Properties S.A. belongs to the Real Estate (Development) industry (Luxembourg) and, with a market value of $1.42B, is number 51 of 83 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $666.47M (up 42.3% year on year) and earnings of $567.22M (up 114.2%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $696.24M (up 4.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.58 (down 48.9%).
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- MEQIRI Score 56 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 148 of 325 in Real Estate, median 55.
- The P/E is 2.9 (Real Estate (Development) median 11.5, own median of recent years 6.7).
- Our model puts fair value at $21.85, with the price 61% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High marginNet margin 85.1% over the last 12 months, Real Estate (Development) median 36.4%.Profitability 70
- Below fair valuePrice 61% below the fair value of $21.85.Valuation 95
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 30% since 2020.Capital allocation 16
- Analysts expect falling earningsDown 16.6% a year through 2028 (estimates from 4 analysts).Growth 50
- Margin fallingOperating margin 54.9%, average of the prior years 104.2% (to 2024).
Its standout strengths are valuation and profitability, while momentum and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 55 to 56.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $15.61 and expensive above $36.42 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $9.68 (cash-flow model) and $34.02 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.2%. At 10.2% the fair value would be $21.41, at 8.2% it would be $22.44.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (11.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 46.7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2010, at around 31% per year. From 2010 revenue is reported differently (for example gross instead of net), so earlier years are not comparable and not shown.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 56%, operating 55%, net 85%. From 2010 revenue is reported differently (for example gross instead of net), so earlier years are not comparable and not shown.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 17 Mar 2027in 124 days
- Last reported
- 11 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.22 (expected $0.30)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 23.6% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $1.58+0.1%
- Revenue
- $696.24M+0.8%
- Earnings per share
- $1.25−23.6%
- Revenue
- $747.48M+4.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +1.5%2026 guidance confirmed: FFO I of EUR 175 million to EUR 185 million and like-for-like rental growth of around 3.5%.
“Accordingly, we continue to expect FFO I in the range of EUR 175 million to EUR 185 million, while internal and external growth is expected to support increasing EBITDA more than offsetting the impact of last year's disposals, FFO I is expected to be slightly lower in 2026 than in 2025.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 12 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
What happened at Grand City Properties
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
325 rated companies in Real Estate
- This company
- 56
- Sector median
- 55
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Real Estate (Development)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- InmocementoIMC.MC $1.89B72
- Intershop HoldingISN.SW $1.75B56
- Dom DevelopmentDOM.WA $1.62B74
- NP3 FastigheterNP3.ST $1.45B63
- Atrium LjungbergATRLJ-B.ST $1.36B45
- Cham Swiss PropertiesCHAM.SW $1.36B55
- Deutsche EuroShopDEQ.DE $1.36B58
- Zug Estates HoldingZUGN.SW $1.35B52
ETFs that hold Grand City Properties
Held by 23 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amundi SDAX UCITS ETF DistC005 | 0.57% | 0.70% | €158.8M |
| WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Dividend UCITS ETFWTES | 0.32% | 0.38% | €86.74M |
| Amundi MSCI EMU Small Cap ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF DISTLGWU | 0.21% | 0.40% | €580.62M |
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| iShares European Property Yield UCITS ETFIQQP | 0.21% | 0.40% | €754.09M |
| State Street SPDR FTSE EPRA Europe ex UK Real Estate UCITS ETFZPRP | 0.20% | 0.30% | €113.02M |
| Xtrackers FTSE Developed Europe ex UK Real Estate UCITS ETF 1CXREA | 0.19% | 0.33% | €18.06M |
| Xtrackers FTSE Developed Europe Real Estate UCITS ETF 1CD5BK | 0.13% | 0.33% | €635.92M |
| Amundi MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF DistX026 | 0.09% | 0.23% | €321.86M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 15 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.
