Graham stock
GHMNYSEGraham Corporation, IndustrialsISIN US3845561063
58Score 58 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
54 / 100
Price history
+41% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 6.2% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 76).
The price is 31% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 88% (August 2008 to July 2022).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$80.37
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$91.58
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)76
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$53.56
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$123.79
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Graham Corporation belongs to the Industrial (Machinery) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.01B, is number 155 of 194 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $245.29M (up 16.9% year on year) and earnings of $12.5M (up 2.2%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $291M (up 18.6%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.54 (up 9.8%).
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- MEQIRI Score 58 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 611 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 76.2 (Industrial (Machinery) median 24.1, own median of recent years 63.6).
- Our model puts fair value at $48.44, with the price 79% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 36.6% a year since 2021.Growth 85
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 216% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 63
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 20.3% a year since 2021, Industrial (Machinery) median 7.8%.Growth 85
Weaknesses
- Richly valuedP/E 76.2, Industrial (Machinery) median 24.1, own median 63.6.Valuation 19
- Above fair valuePrice 79% above the fair value of $48.44.Valuation 19
- Volatile share priceVolatility 56% a year over the last 12 months.
Its standout strengths are growth and stability, while profitability and valuation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
- price far below its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $34.60 and expensive above $80.74 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $69.74 (cash-flow model) and $27.15 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $42.14, at 7.8% it would be $57.95.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (24.1).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 16.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 7% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 24%, operating 6%, net 5%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 5 Feb 2027in 85 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.52 (expected $0.34)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 24 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $1.540.0%
- Revenue
- $291M0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $2.210.0%
- Revenue
- $323.2M0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 24 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Graham
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 58
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Industrial (Machinery)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Ariston HoldingARIS.MI $1.27B49
- DürrDUE.DE $1.25B52
- PalfingerPAL.VI $1.18B57
- NewagNWG.WA $1.04B71
- Lindab InternationalLIAB.ST $1B54
- 2G Energy2GB.DE $921.44M59
- Power Solutions InternationalPSIX $915.7M57
- ManitowocMTW $887.51M55
ETFs that hold Graham
Held by 8 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.03% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.03% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.03% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
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| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.01% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.00% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.00% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI All Country World Investable Market UCITS ETF (Acc)SPYI | 0.00% | 0.17% | €8.6B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Mar 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 6 Nov 2026)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 10 Nov 2026, previously Fairly valued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.