Genius Sports stock
GENINYSEGenius Sports Limited, Communication ServicesISIN GG00BMF1JR16
42Score 42 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
58 / 100
Price history
−41% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 6 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 0.2% above it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 46).
The price is 46% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 6 years: 91% (May 2021 to June 2022).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$6.42
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$6.09
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)46
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$3.92
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$11.37
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Genius Sports Limited belongs to the Internet Content & Information industry (United Kingdom) and, with a market value of $1.63B, is number 31 of 46 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $669.49M (up 31% year on year) and a loss of $111.58M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.02B (up 52.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$0.48.
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 42 out of 100 (Weak): rank 195 of 232 in Communication Services, median 58.
- Our model puts fair value at $14.88, with the price 59% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 34.9% a year since 2020, Internet Content & Information median 13.2%.Growth 70
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 43% since 2020.Capital allocation 31
- Loss-makingLoss of $168.52M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 17
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$32.01M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 17
Its standout strengths are valuation and growth, while profitability and fundamentals hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- high price swings
- price far below its 52-week high
What lowers it
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $9.92 and expensive above $29.77 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 12.2%. At 13.2% the fair value would be $13.04, at 11.2% it would be $17.25.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, high risk, weak balance sheet.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 47.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2018, at around 34% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 23%, operating −21%, net −17%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 3 Mar 2027in 110 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported −$0.06 (expected $0.01)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 84.7% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- −$0.48−57.2%
- Revenue
- $1.02B+0.7%
- Earnings per share
- $0.04−84.7%
- Revenue
- $1.28B−1.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: 0.0%Expected 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin raised from 23% to 28%, group revenue of about $185 million expected for the second quarter.
“This raises our 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin expectation from 23% to 28%.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 7 May 2026 (fiscal Q1 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 2 insiders sold, $5.58M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Russell ThomasSale
17 Sept 2026, Chief Legal Officer
- Shares
- 50,000
- Price
- $6.51
- Value
- $325,565
- Locke MarkSale
17 Sept 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 50,000
- Price
- $6.54
- Value
- $327,050
- Locke MarkSale
16 Sept 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 272,551
- Price
- $6.56
- Value
- $1.79M
Show 1 more
- Locke MarkSale
15 Sept 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 477,449
- Price
- $6.58
- Value
- $3.14M
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Genius Sports
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
232 rated companies in Communication Services
- This company
- 42
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Internet Content & Information
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- CarGurusCARG $3.05B84
- AutohomeATHM $2.49B56
- RumbleRUM $2.48B38
- StubHub HoldingsSTUB $1.8B38
- WeiboWB $1.5B58
- OperaOPRA $1.39B67
- Trump Media & Technology GroupDJT $1.38B33
- WEBTOON EntertainmentWBTN $1.37B38
ETFs that hold Genius Sports
Held by 5 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Automation & Robotics UCITS ETF2B76 | 0.08% | 0.40% | €4.62B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.05% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.05% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
Show 1 more
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.05% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 3 Oct 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.