Genesco stock
GCONYSEGenesco Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US3715321028
57Score 57 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
77 / 100
Price history
+10% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 6.2% above it.
Since April 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 45).
The price is 16% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 90% (August 2014 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$35.77
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$33.70
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)45
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$21.95
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$42.72
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Genesco Inc. belongs to the Apparel (Retail) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $387.15M, is number 22 of 26 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.38B (down 2.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.36 (up 76.3%).
- MEQIRI Score 57 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 372 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
Show more
- The P/E is 9 (Apparel (Retail) median 14.4, own median of recent years 10).
- Our model puts fair value at $39.44, with the price 6% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Share buybacksShare count down 27% since 2021.Capital allocation 62
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 30% a year through 2028 (estimates from 3 analysts).
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 177% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 58
Weaknesses
- Volatile share priceVolatility 60% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 50
Its standout strengths are valuation and technical analysis, while growth and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 58 to 57.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $28.17 and expensive above $65.74 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $21.76 (cash-flow model) and $57.13 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 12.7%. At 13.7% the fair value would be $38.62, at 11.7% it would be $40.46.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14.4).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 1 Aug 2026, revenue rose 3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2007.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 46%, operating 1%, net 1%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 3 Dec 2026in 21 days
- Last reported
- 3 Sep 2026EPS reported −$0.83 (expected −$1.37)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $2.360.0%
- Revenue
- $2.38B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $2.950.0%
- Revenue
- $2.44B0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook mixed
Share price after the results: +6.8%Fiscal 2027 adjusted EPS is now expected at the high end of the $2.00 to $2.40 range, but more sales pressure is expected in the back half from Schuh.
“Based on our second quarter outperformance, we now expect fiscal 27 adjusted diluted earnings per share to be at the high end up from the middle, of our previously increased range of 2 point to $2.40.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 3 Sep 2026 (fiscal Q2 2027), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
2 insiders bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $109,963 in total.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Genesco
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 57
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Apparel (Retail)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- BooztBOOZT-DKK.CO $980.99M68
- RVRC HoldingRVRC.ST $573.44M77
- CaleresCAL $464.09M55
- Lindex GroupLINDEX.HE $460.21M52
- Shoe Station GroupSHOE $394.44M56
- Citi TrendsCTRN $386.78M43
- Stitch FixSFIX $384.24M34
- SMCP S.a.SMCP.PA $360.25M49
ETFs that hold Genesco
Held by 3 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.03% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.01% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.01% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Jan 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 4 Sep 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.