Bilfinger stock
GBF.DEXETRABilfinger SE, IndustrialsISIN DE0005909006WKN 590900
64Score 64 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
39 / 100
Price history
−34% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 30% below it.
Since May 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 66).
The price is 53% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 86% (April 2014 to April 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$67.50
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$95.49
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)66
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$60.39
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$141.73
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Bilfinger SE belongs to the Engineering & Construction industry (Germany) and, with a market value of $2.46B, is number 75 of 108 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $6.01B (up 7.7% year on year) and earnings of $195.03M (down 1.9%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $6.13B (up 2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $4.39 (down 21.3%).
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- MEQIRI Score 64 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 419 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 12.7 (Engineering & Construction median 19.2, own median of recent years 9.7).
- Our model puts fair value at $141.15, with the price 53% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Below fair valuePrice 53% below the fair value of $141.15.Valuation 95
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 4.67%, Engineering & Construction median 2.5%.Capital allocation 82
- Share buybacksShare count down 8% since 2020.Capital allocation 82
Weaknesses
- Share price fell sharplyDown 40% over the last 12 months.Momentum 30
Its standout strengths are valuation and capital allocation, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- high price swings
What lowers it
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $100.82 and expensive above $235.26 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $181.68 (cash-flow model) and $100.63 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.1%. At 8.1% the fair value would be $124.83, at 6.1% it would be $165.74.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (19.2).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 3.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 11%, operating 5%, net 3%.
Debt & balance sheet
Fiscal 2025Low debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 3 Mar 2027in 110 days
- Last reported
- 11 Nov 2026EPS reported $1.29 (expected $1.25)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $4.39−1.0%
- Revenue
- $6.13B−0.2%
- Earnings per share
- $6.04−0.6%
- Revenue
- $6.35B−0.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: −3.7%Outlook confirmed, but the EBITA margin is now expected at the lower end of the 5.4% to 5.9% range and came in below expectations (5.3%).
“And of course, the guidance what we gave with 5.4% to 5.9%, we are on a good run with the revenue.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 12 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
What happened at Bilfinger
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1018 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 64
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Engineering & Construction
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Técnicas ReunidasTRE.MC $2.67B58
- Koninklijke HeijmansHEIJM.AS $2.65B68
- WebuildWBD.MI $2.46B59
- AF GruppenAFG.OL $2.46B71
- CadelerCADLR.OL $2.35B59
- Aktor Societe Anonyme Holding Company Technical and Energy ProjectsAKTR.AT $2.3B39
- Grenergy RenovablesGRE.MC $2.21B56
- Per Aarsleff HoldingPAAL-B.CO $1.87B70
ETFs that hold Bilfinger
Held by 38 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deka DAXplus Maximum Dividend UCITS ETFEL4X | 1.59% | 0.30% | €252.19M |
| iShares MDAX UCITS ETF (DE)EXID | 1.36% | 0.51% | €30.68M |
| iShares EURO STOXX Small UCITS ETFIQQS | 0.67% | 0.40% | €407.46M |
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| WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Dividend UCITS ETFWTES | 0.62% | 0.38% | €86.74M |
| iShares STOXX Europe 600 Construct & Material UCITS ETF (DE)EXV8 | 0.47% | 0.46% | €816.06M |
| iShares MSCI EMU Small Cap UCITS ETFSXRJ | 0.41% | 0.58% | €838.19M |
| iShares STOXX Europe Small 200 UCITS ETF (DE)EXSE | 0.29% | 0.20% | €632.25M |
| WisdomTree Eurozone Quality Dividend Growth UCITS ETF EUR AccWTIM | 0.20% | 0.29% | €49.19M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 24 Apr 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.
