Golub Capital BDC stock
GBDCNASDAQGolub Capital BDC, Inc., Financial ServicesISIN US38173M1027
60Score 60 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
64 / 100
Price history
−11% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 17 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 2.2% below it.
Since April 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 59).
The price is 13% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 17 years: 53% (May 2017 to April 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$12.49
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$12.77
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)59
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$11.97
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$14.37
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Golub Capital BDC, Inc. belongs to the Asset Management industry (United States) and, with a market value of $3.24B, is number 67 of 131 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $870.78M (up 42.5% year on year) and earnings of $376.13M (up 37.4%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $771.95M (down 11.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.38 (down 11.8%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 60 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 719 of 975 in Financial Services, median 68.
- Our model puts fair value at $22.63, with the price 45% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 11.05%, Asset Management median 4.38%.
- Earnings per share growingUp 30.9% a year since 2020.Growth 84
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 23.8% a year since 2020, Asset Management median 10.4%.Growth 84
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 79% since 2020.Capital allocation 27
- Analysts expect falling earningsDown 6.1% a year through 2028 (estimates from 4 analysts).
- Low return on equityReturn on equity 4.5% over the last 12 months.Profitability 27
Its standout strengths are valuation and stability, while profitability and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 61 to 60.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
What lowers it
- calm price action
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $18.86 and expensive above $28.29 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.2%. At 11.2% the fair value would be $19.55, at 9.2% it would be $26.86.
Valuation metrics
From the dividend model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the quarter to 30 Jun 2026, revenue fell 27% on the same quarter a year earlier. Up to 2024 the bars include businesses that were later spun off or sold. On a comparable basis, as restated in the SEC annual reports, revenue grew 23.8% a year.
Margins
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: operating 79%, net 43%. Banks and insurers have no gross margin, and their net margin is not comparable with other industries. The score leaves both out. Last 12 months: net 24%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterFor banks and insurers, deposits and liabilities are the business. Debt to equity and the current ratio say little here, and the score does not rate them.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 17 Nov 2026in 4 days
- Last reported
- 3 Aug 2026EPS reported $0.34 (expected $0.33)in line with expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $1.28+0.1%
- Revenue
- $748.39M+0.7%
- Earnings per share
- $1.220.0%
- Revenue
- $740.86M0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $21.89M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Golub David, Golub Lawrence ESale
7 Aug 2026, Chairman & CEO
- Shares
- 1,676,387
- Price
- $13.06
- Value
- $21.89M
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Golub Capital BDC
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
975 rated companies in Financial Services
- This company
- 60
- Sector median
- 68
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Asset Management
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- EurazeoRF.PA $3.5B45
- Acadian Asset ManagementAAMI $3.36B85
- WisdomTreeWT $3.27B78
- BrederodeBREB.BR $3.25B74
- FS KKR CapitalFSK $3.18B52
- Tikehau CapitalTKO.PA $3.11B60
- AllianceBernstein HoldingAB $3.09B68
- RökoROKO-B.ST $3.01B75
ETFs that hold Golub Capital BDC
Held by 1 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Listed Private Equity UCITS ETFIQQL | 1.26% | 0.75% | €685.36M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 30 Sep 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Aug 2024)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.