FTAI Aviation stock
FTAINASDAQFTAI Aviation Ltd., IndustrialsISIN KYG3730V1059
56Score 56 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
53 / 100
Price history
+19% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 11 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 20% below it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 59).
The price is 41% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 11 years: 74% (February 2020 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$177.22
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$227.64
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)59
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$152.80
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$310.04
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- FTAI Aviation Ltd. belongs to the Aerospace & Defense industry (United States) and, with a market value of $18.7B, is number 35 of 114 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $3.85B (up 53.6%) and adjusted earnings per share of $5.61 (up 21.5%).
- MEQIRI Score 56 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 662 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
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- The P/E is 37.1 (Aerospace & Defense median 31.3, own median of recent years 32.1).
- Our model puts fair value at $126.55, with the price 45% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 46.6% a year since 2020, Aerospace & Defense median 10.6%.Growth 70
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 49.6% a year through 2028 (estimates from 6 analysts).Growth 70
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 11 years.Capital allocation 56
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 7.97 times equity (latest quarter), Aerospace & Defense median 0.52.Stability 36
- DilutionShare count up 19% since 2020.Capital allocation 56
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$1.41B over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 41
Its standout strengths are profitability and growth, while fundamentals and stability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- weak fundamentals
- price far below its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $84.37 and expensive above $253.10 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $99.01 (cash-flow model) and $154.09 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $113.95, at 7.8% it would be $145.73.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (31.3).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 45.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2012, at around 66% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 31%, operating 31%, net 20%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 24 Feb 2027in 103 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.43 (expected $1.41)in line with expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 4.3% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $5.61−4.3%
- Revenue
- $3.85B−0.3%
- Earnings per share
- $12.93−1.1%
- Revenue
- $6.55B+0.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +12.0%FTAI reaffirms its 2026 and 2027 guidance across all business lines, with free cash flow for 2026 at $1.1 billion before growth initiatives.
“For the full year, we expect to generate $1.1 billion of free cash flow before growth initiatives, revised down by $61 million due to opportunistic engine acquisitions to support our Aerospace Products business.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $498,143 in total. One insider sold, $64,742 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at FTAI Aviation
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1018 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 56
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Aerospace & Defense
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Hd Hyundai Heavy Industries329180.KS $21.04B59
- BombardierBBD-B.TO $20.38B66
- Avic Shenyang Aircraft600760.SS $20.26B57
- WoodwardWWD $19.6B69
- Curtiss-WrightCW $17.3B68
- AECC Aviation Power600893.SS $15.31B31
- EmbraerEMBJ $14.35B64
- TextronTXT $14.28B68
ETFs that hold FTAI Aviation
Held by 53 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Invesco NASDAQ Next Generation 100 UCITS ETF AccEQQJ | 0.99% | 0.25% | €45.16M |
| iShares MSCI USA Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETFQDVC | 0.27% | 0.20% | €272.21M |
| Deka MSCI USA MC UCITS ETFEL41 | 0.24% | 0.30% | €52.63M |
Show 5 more
| Xtrackers MSCI World Industrials UCITS ETF 1CXDWI | 0.20% | 0.25% | €1.22B |
| iShares MSCI World Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETF USDIS3T | 0.10% | 0.30% | €411.06M |
| iShares MSCI World CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETF USD AccEDMW | 0.09% | 0.20% | €4.72B |
| iShares MSCI USA CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFOM3L | 0.07% | 0.07% | €16.21B |
| Invesco MSCI World Equal Weight UCITS ETF Acc AccumUSDMWEQ | 0.07% | 0.20% | €2.1B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 28 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.