Forvia stock
FRVIA.PAPARForvia SE, Consumer CyclicalISIN FR0000121147
49Score 49 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
45 / 100
Price history
−27% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 14% below it.
Since April 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 60).
The price is 43% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 92% (May 2018 to April 2025).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$9.90
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$11.01
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)60
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$8.91
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$16.44
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Forvia SE belongs to the Auto (Parts) industry (France) and, with a market value of $1.85B, is number 52 of 81 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $23.65B (down 20.9% year on year) and a loss of $2.32B.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $23.02B (down 2.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$0.02.
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- MEQIRI Score 49 out of 100 (Weak): rank 467 of 596 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $20.04, with the price 53% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
None of our strength checks applies.
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 30% since 2020.Capital allocation 28
- High debtDebt 2.55 times equity (latest quarter), Auto (Parts) median 0.75.Stability 28
- Loss-makingLoss of $2.17B over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 58
Its standout strength is valuation, while stability and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 50 to 49.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $14.32 and expensive above $33.40 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 11.7%. At 12.7% the fair value would be $18.95, at 10.7% it would be $21.35.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, high risk.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue fell 8.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 3% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 14%, operating 5%, net not measured.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 26 Feb 2027in 105 days
- Last reported
- 31 Jul 2026EPS reported −$0.05
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 127.6% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- −$0.02−127.6%
- Revenue
- $23.02B+0.4%
- Earnings per share
- $1.77+3.0%
- Revenue
- $23.39B+0.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +0.3%2026 guidance confirmed with sales in the upper half of the range; the second half is expected to be lower than the strong first half and restructuring cash out should peak at around EUR 300 million.
“We mentioned before the restructuring cash out is expected to peak in '26 at around EUR 300 million and before progressively declining thereafter, and we confirm that.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 31 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
What happened at Forvia
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
596 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 49
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Auto (Parts)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- QuantumScapeQS $2.4B30
- DanaDAN $2.32B44
- Nokian RenkaatTYRES.HE $2.21B47
- VisteonVC $1.95B54
- Hesai GroupHSAI $1.85B40
- Gestamp AutomociónGEST.MC $1.8B50
- GenthermTHRM $1.51B49
- OPmobilityOPM.PA $1.49B56
ETFs that hold Forvia
Held by 9 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Electric Vehicles and Driving Technology UCITS ETFIEVD | 0.26% | 0.40% | €501.05M |
| iShares MSCI EMU Small Cap UCITS ETFSXRJ | 0.25% | 0.58% | €838.19M |
| Amundi MSCI Smart Mobility UCITS ETF AccELCR | 0.15% | 0.45% | €144.9M |
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| Amundi MSCI EMU Small Cap ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF DISTLGWU | 0.07% | 0.40% | €580.62M |
| Amundi MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF DistX026 | 0.02% | 0.23% | €321.86M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.02% | 0.35% | €8.27B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.00% | 0.10% | €395.74M |
| Vanguard ESG Global All Cap UCITS ETF (USD) AccumulatingV3AA | 0.00% | 0.24% | €1.69B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak since 13 Nov 2026, previously Neutral
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.