Valeo stock
FR.PAPARValeo SE, Consumer CyclicalISIN FR0013176526
53Score 53 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
57 / 100
Price history
−11% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 12% below it.
Since June 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 48).
The price is 32% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 90% (May 2017 to April 2025).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$14.82
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$14.24
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)48
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$10.79
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$18.44
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Valeo SE belongs to the Auto (Parts) industry (France) and, with a market value of $3.01B, is number 46 of 81 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $23.16B (down 2.7% year on year) and earnings of $221.62M (up 23.5%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $22.61B (down 2.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.67.
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- MEQIRI Score 53 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 419 of 596 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 13.7 (Auto (Parts) median 14.7, own median of recent years 15.3).
- Our model puts fair value at $18.08, with the price 31% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow above 500% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 74
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 22.3% a year through 2028 (estimates from 10 analysts).Growth 61
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 1.65 times equity (latest quarter), Auto (Parts) median 0.75.Stability 37
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 2.6 times.Stability 37
- Volatile share priceVolatility 50% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 37
Its standout strengths are valuation and fundamentals, while momentum and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $12.91 and expensive above $30.13 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $22.73 (cash-flow model) and $13.43 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 11.7%. At 12.7% the fair value would be $17.02, at 10.7% it would be $19.40.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but high risk.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14.7).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue fell 2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 4% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 15%, operating 4%, net 1%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 25 Feb 2027in 104 days
- Last reported
- 22 Jul 2026EPS reported $0.48 (expected $1.22)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $1.67−0.2%
- Revenue
- $22.61B−0.3%
- Earnings per share
- $2.07−2.9%
- Revenue
- $23.09B−0.9%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +7.8%Full year guidance is reaffirmed, with second half operating margin and free cash flow expected to be at least in line with the first half.
“Our operating margin for the first half '26 stands at 5.0% at the midpoint of our full year guidance and 50 basis points up year-on-year.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 22 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
What happened at Valeo
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
596 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 53
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Auto (Parts)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Inter CarsCAR.WA $3.8B69
- AumovioAMV0.DE $3.58B38
- BremboBRE.MI $3.57B67
- CIE AutomotiveCIE.MC $3.5B70
- PHINIAPHIN $2.61B67
- QuantumScapeQS $2.4B30
- DanaDAN $2.32B44
- Nokian RenkaatTYRES.HE $2.21B47
ETFs that hold Valeo
Held by 36 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares STOXX Europe 600 Automobiles & Parts UCITS ETF (DE)EXV5 | 1.46% | 0.46% | €162.86M |
| iShares EURO STOXX Small UCITS ETFIQQS | 0.82% | 0.40% | €407.46M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI Europe Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETF EUR AccZPRX | 0.70% | 0.30% | €813.64M |
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| UBS MSCI EMU Small Cap UCITS ETF EUR disUEFD | 0.41% | 0.28% | €630.46M |
| iShares Electric Vehicles and Driving Technology UCITS ETFIEVD | 0.41% | 0.40% | €501.05M |
| iShares STOXX Europe Small 200 UCITS ETF (DE)EXSE | 0.34% | 0.20% | €632.25M |
| WisdomTree Battery Solutions UCITS ETF USD AccW1TA | 0.30% | 0.40% | €132.27M |
| Amundi MSCI Smart Mobility UCITS ETF AccELCR | 0.25% | 0.45% | €144.9M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 27 Mar 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.