FedEx stock
FDXNYSEFedEx Corporation, IndustrialsISIN US31428X1063
64Score 64 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
68 / 100
Price history
+48% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 3.7% above it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 64).
The price is 5.9% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 72% (February 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$302.51
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$307.84
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)64
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$211.44
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$339.35
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- FedEx Corporation belongs to the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry (United States) and, with a market value of $74.78B, is number 2 of 36 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $94.72B (up 7.7% year on year) and earnings of $4.43B (up 8.3%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $92.29B (down 2.6%) and adjusted earnings per share of $18.31.
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 64 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 418 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 19.3 (Integrated Freight & Logistics median 20.8, own median of recent years 12.6).
- Our model puts fair value at $364.76, with the price 12% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 24 years.Capital allocation 74
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 26.8% a year through 2028 (estimates from 7 analysts).
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2017 to 2026.Fundamentals 76
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are momentum and fundamentals, while profitability and growth hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 63 to 64.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $280.58 and expensive above $521.08 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $386.11 (cash-flow model) and $343.40 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is slightly below both parts; given how much the stock swings, that still counts as fair.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $332.36, at 7.8% it would be $413.36.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (20.8).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In fiscal 2026, revenue rose 7.7% on the prior year. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 5% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 22%, operating 7%, net 5%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 2 Feb 2027in 82 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported $3.74 (expected $3.34)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 3.4% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $18.31+3.4%
- Revenue
- $92.29B+0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $21.14−1.5%
- Revenue
- $95.93B+0.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +0.2%FedEx raised and tightened its calendar year 2026 EPS outlook to $18 to $18.60 from a wider prior range, and introduced a new adjusted free cash flow outlook of about $4 billion for 2026.
“Based on our performance over the 4-month transition period and increased visibility into the remainder of the calendar year, we are raising and tightening our CY '26 outlook to $18 to $18.60. The midpoint of this range implies 23% adjusted earnings per share growth year-over-year for the full year.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 28 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 4 insiders sold, $16.32M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Russ Claude FSale
10 Nov 2026, Interim CFO & Interim CAO
- Shares
- 16,762
- Price
- $316.11
- Value
- $5.3M
- Adams Gina F.Sale
2 Nov 2026, EVP GENL COUNSEL/SECTY
- Shares
- 3,014
- Price
- $317.06
- Value
- $955,616
- Brightman Tracy BSale
30 Oct 2026, EVP - Chief People Officer
- Shares
- 26,611
- Price
- $316.68
- Value
- $8.43M
Show 1 more
- Walsh Paul SSale
30 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 5,042
- Price
- $324.56
- Value
- $1.64M
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at FedEx
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 64
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Integrated Freight & Logistics
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- United Parcel ServiceUPS $95.69B69
- DHL GroupDHL.DE $74.04B70
- DSVDSV.CO $52.17B58
- Poste ItalianePST.MI $45.34B60
- Kuehne + Nagel InternationalKNIN.SW $33.5B71
- Expeditors International of WashingtonEXPD $25.12B78
- S.F. Holding002352.SZ $23.03B61
- J.B. Hunt Transport ServicesJBHT $21.22B68
ETFs that hold FedEx
Held by 108 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Digitalisation UCITS ETF2B79 | 2.43% | 0.40% | €726.22M |
| L&G Ecommerce Logistics UCITS ETFETLH | 2.13% | 0.49% | €62.57M |
| Invesco S&P 500 QVM UCITS ETFQVMP | 1.40% | 0.35% | €50.82M |
Show 5 more
| iShares Edge MSCI USA Value Factor UCITS ETFQDVI | 1.35% | 0.20% | €2.9B |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Industrials Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDI | 1.35% | 0.15% | €874.42M |
| iShares S&P 500 Industrials Sector UCITS ETF2B7C | 1.34% | 0.15% | €635.94M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Value UCITS ETF USD AccZPRU | 1.26% | 0.20% | €294.97M |
| iShares MSCI World Momentum Factor Advanced UCITS ETFCBUH | 0.82% | 0.25% | €261.8M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 May 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 26 Jun 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.