Fastenal stock
FASTNASDAQFastenal Company, IndustrialsISIN US3119001044
77Score 77 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
85 / 100
Price history
+34% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 17% above it.
Since March 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 66).
The price is at its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 53% (September 2008 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$50.99
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$47.60
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)66
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$39.15
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$55.49
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Fastenal Company belongs to the Industrial (Distribution) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $63.66B, is number 2 of 38 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $8.2B (up 8.7% year on year) and earnings of $1.26B (up 9.4%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $9.37B (up 14.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.28 (up 16.3%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 77 out of 100 (Strong): rank 35 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 45 (Industrial (Distribution) median 26, own median of recent years 29.7).
- Our model puts fair value at $30.59, with the price 81% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for over 35 years.Capital allocation 85
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 31.7% in fiscal 2025, Industrial (Distribution) median 9.1%.Profitability 87
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 90
Weaknesses
- Above fair valuePrice 81% above the fair value of $30.59.Valuation 13
- Richly valuedP/E 45, Industrial (Distribution) median 26, own median 29.7.Valuation 13
Its standout strengths are stability and fundamentals, while valuation holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 9 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- calm price action
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $25.49 and expensive above $38.24 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $29.09 (cash-flow model) and $32.10 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $28.07, at 7.8% it would be $34.39.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (26).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 13.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 8% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 45%, operating 20%, net 15%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 19 Jan 2027in 68 days
- Last reported
- 14 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.35 (expected $0.34)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $1.28+0.5%
- Revenue
- $9.37B+0.3%
- Earnings per share
- $1.41+0.3%
- Revenue
- $10.24B+0.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −2.0%Expectations continue unchanged, with 27,000 to 29,000 weighted device signings and net capital spending of $310 million to $330 million for 2026.
“We continue to expect 27,000 to 29,000 weighted device signings for the full year.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 14 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 3 insiders sold, $2.03M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Papenfuss Donnalee KathleenSale
13 Aug 2026, EVP-Strategy and Communication
- Shares
- 9,258
- Price
- $51.39
- Value
- $475,758
- Ancius Michael JSale
10 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 3,000
- Price
- $52.00
- Value
- $156,000
- Heise Rita J.Sale
5 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 24,964
- Price
- $50.05
- Value
- $1.25M
Show 1 more
- Ancius Michael JSale
28 Jul 2026, Board
- Shares
- 3,000
- Price
- $49.00
- Value
- $147,000
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Fastenal
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 77
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Industrial (Distribution)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- W.W. GraingerGWW $69.59B82
- Ferguson EnterprisesFERG $51.17B72
- WESCO InternationalWCC $15.93B61
- QXOQXO $14.33B37
- WatscoWSO $13.04B66
- RexelRXL.PA $12.57B65
- Toromont IndustriesTIH.TO $11.31B68
- Applied Industrial TechnologiesAIT $11.01B73
ETFs that hold Fastenal
Held by 120 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amundi US Tech 100 Equal Weight UCITS ETF DR USDWEBA | 1.38% | 0.07% | €340.27M |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Industrials Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDI | 1.18% | 0.15% | €874.42M |
| iShares S&P 500 Industrials Sector UCITS ETF2B7C | 1.13% | 0.15% | €635.94M |
Show 5 more
| iShares MSCI USA Quality Dividend Advanced UCITS ETFQDVD | 0.96% | 0.35% | €777.04M |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF (Dist)SPYD | 0.91% | 0.35% | €3.62B |
| UBS Factor MSCI USA Quality Screened UCITS ETF USD disUBUT | 0.88% | 0.25% | €1.14B |
| Deka MSCI USA MC UCITS ETFEL41 | 0.74% | 0.30% | €51.58M |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Industrials UCITS ETF 1CXDWI | 0.63% | 0.25% | €1.21B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Oct 2022)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.