ERG stock
ERG.MIMILERG S.p.A., UtilitiesISIN IT0001157020
53Score 53 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
61 / 100
Price history
+1.8% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 1.8% above it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 71).
The price is 7.5% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 80% (April 2007 to May 2012).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$24.82
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$25.19
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)71
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$22.94
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$27.75
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- ERG S.p.A. belongs to the Renewable Utilities industry (Italy) and, with a market value of $3.73B, is number 20 of 34 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $827.42M (up 1.5% year on year) and earnings of $72.28M (down 65.3%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $917.09M (up 10.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.29 (up 30.3%).
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- MEQIRI Score 53 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 108 of 201 in Utilities, median 54.
- The P/E is 42.8 (Renewable Utilities median 32.2, own median of recent years 21.3).
- Our model puts fair value at $21.67, with the price 19% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 71
Weaknesses
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 2.2 times.Stability 57
- Richly valuedP/E 42.8, Renewable Utilities median 32.2, own median 21.3.Valuation 39
- Revenue shrinkingRevenue down 2.8% a year since 2020.Growth 35
Its standout strength is fundamentals, while valuation and growth hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 54 to 53.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 14 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $16.67 and expensive above $30.95 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $24.06 (cash-flow model) and $19.27 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.9%. At 9.9% the fair value would be $19.78, at 7.9% it would be $24.42.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (32.2).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 5.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2014. From 2014 revenue only includes continuing operations, sold or discontinued divisions have been reclassified. Earlier years are not comparable and not shown, and the margins for 2014 are not measured.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 53%, operating 27%, net not measured. From 2014 revenue only includes continuing operations, sold or discontinued divisions have been reclassified. Earlier years are not comparable and not shown, and the margins for 2014 are not measured.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 16 Mar 2027in 124 days
- Last reported
- 31 Jul 2026EPS reported $0.49
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $1.29+0.8%
- Revenue
- $917.09M−0.6%
- Earnings per share
- $1.33+0.8%
- Revenue
- $927.99M−1.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
What happened at ERG
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
201 rated companies in Utilities
- This company
- 53
- Sector median
- 54
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Renewable Utilities
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Ormat TechnologiesORA $5.73B43
- Brookfield RenewableBEPC $5.73B41
- TAURON Polska EnergiaTPE.WA $4B55
- Fervo EnergyFRVO $3.81B37
- SOLV EnergyMWH $3.41B62
- ReNew Energy Global PlcRNW $2.54B51
- Solaria Energía y Medio AmbienteSLR.MC $2.43B64
- ScatecSCATC.OL $1.51B37
ETFs that hold ERG
Held by 21 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| L&G Clean Energy UCITS ETFRENW | 1.78% | 0.49% | €622.43M |
| State Street SPDR S&P Euro Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF (Dist)SPYW | 1.46% | 0.30% | €1.87B |
| Invesco Global Clean Energy UCITS ETF AccumUSDG1CE | 1.08% | 0.60% | €87.44M |
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| UBS S&P Dividend Aristocrats ESG Elite UCITS ETF USD disUBUM | 1.00% | 0.30% | €237.98M |
| State Street SPDR S&P Global Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF (Dist)ZPRG | 0.78% | 0.45% | €1.63B |
| Amundi MSCI EMU Small Cap ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF DISTLGWU | 0.57% | 0.40% | €575.19M |
| WisdomTree Europe Equity Income UCITS ETFWTEE | 0.30% | 0.29% | €241.09M |
| iShares Global Clean Energy Transition UCITS ETFIQQH | 0.29% | 0.65% | €2.49B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.8987)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 27 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.