Estée Lauder Companies stock
ELNYSEThe Estée Lauder Companies Inc., Consumer DefensiveISIN US5184391044
54Score 54 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
89 / 100
Price history
+24% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 23% above it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 59).
The price is 6.1% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 87% (January 2022 to April 2025).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$101.39
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$91.30
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)59
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$67.23
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$119.61
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. belongs to the Household & Personal Products industry (United States) and, with a market value of $40.7B, is number 7 of 39 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $15.88B (up 5.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $3.43 (up 36.6%).
- MEQIRI Score 54 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 215 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
Show more
- The P/E is 111.8 (Household & Personal Products median 23.9, own median of recent years 47.4).
- Our model puts fair value at $51.84, with the price 117% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 412% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 80
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 15.8% a year through 2029 (estimates from 18 analysts).
Weaknesses
- Richly valuedP/E 111.8, Household & Personal Products median 23.9, own median 47.4.Valuation 18
- Earnings per share fallingDown 42.4% a year since 2021.Growth 13
- Above fair valuePrice 117% above the fair value of $51.84.Valuation 18
Its standout strengths are technical analysis and momentum, while valuation and growth hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
What lowers it
- low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)
- solid fundamentals
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $37.03 and expensive above $86.39 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $79.70 (cash-flow model) and $23.97 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $45.25, at 7.8% it would be $61.71.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (23.9).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 5.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 4% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 76%, operating 11%, net 1%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 3 Feb 2027in 83 days
- Last reported
- 2 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.72 (expected $0.51)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 3.3% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $3.43+3.3%
- Revenue
- $15.88B+0.9%
- Earnings per share
- $4.05+2.8%
- Revenue
- $16.57B+0.9%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +14.1%The preliminary outlook was raised, with operating margin now expected at 12.7% to 13.5%, and organic net sales growth seen stronger in the first half than in the second.
“We are raising our preliminary outlook and now expect operating margin to range between 12.7% and 13.5%.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 19 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q4 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 5 insiders sold, $24.67M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Fribourg Paul JSale
9 Nov 2026, Board
- Shares
- 2,406
- Price
- $115.10
- Value
- $276,931
- de la Faverie StephaneSale
9 Nov 2026, President and CEO
- Shares
- 9,100
- Price
- $112.97
- Value
- $1.03M
- La Lande RashidaSale
9 Nov 2026, Exec VP & General Counsel
- Shares
- 8,879
- Price
- $113.84
- Value
- $1.01M
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- Fribourg Paul JSale
6 Nov 2026, Board
- Shares
- 70,000
- Price
- $110.21
- Value
- $7.71M
- Sternlicht Barry SSale
6 Nov 2026, Board
- Shares
- 4,697
- Price
- $108.63
- Value
- $510,235
- Fribourg Paul JSale
5 Nov 2026, Board
- Shares
- 20,972
- Price
- $111.98
- Value
- $2.35M
- Fribourg Paul JSale
14 Sept 2026, Board
- Shares
- 58,000
- Price
- $98.17
- Value
- $5.69M
- Fribourg Paul JSale
11 Sept 2026, Board
- Shares
- 45,000
- Price
- $96.78
- Value
- $4.36M
- Barshefsky CharleneSale
9 Sept 2026, Board
- Shares
- 3,775
- Price
- $98.82
- Value
- $373,046
- La Lande RashidaSale
28 Aug 2026, Exec VP & General Counsel
- Shares
- 7,766
- Price
- $103.32
- Value
- $802,383
- La Lande RashidaSale
21 Aug 2026, Exec VP & General Counsel
- Shares
- 5,564
- Price
- $99.55
- Value
- $553,896
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Estée Lauder Companies
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 54
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Household & Personal Products
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- UnileverUL $141.67B66
- Colgate-PalmoliveCL $77.9B72
- Hindustan UnileverHINDUNILVR.NS $50.72B69
- Reckitt Benckiser Group3RB.DE $48.2B71
- Henkel AG & Co. KGaAHEN3.DE $39.46B70
- Kimberly-ClarkKMB $36.2B68
- Church & DwightCHD $26.44B71
- Kao4452.T $22.3B72
ETFs that hold Estée Lauder Companies
Held by 124 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amundi Global Luxury UCITS ETF EUR AccGLUX | 2.76% | 0.35% | €411.57M |
| VanEck Morningstar US ESG Wide Moat UCITS ETFGMVM | 2.65% | 0.49% | €368.7M |
| iShares MSCI World Consumer Staples Sector ESG UCITS ETF USD3SUE | 2.07% | 0.18% | €100.45M |
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| iShares Inclusion and Diversity UCITS ETFOPEN | 1.12% | 0.25% | €76.52M |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Consumer Staples Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDS | 0.83% | 0.15% | €342.88M |
| Xtrackers MSCI USA Consumer Staples UCITS ETF 1DXUCS | 0.81% | 0.12% | €107.01M |
| iShares S&P 500 Consumer Staples Sector UCITS ETF2B7D | 0.80% | 0.15% | €518.36M |
| Amundi Global Gender Equality UCITS ETF AccVOOM | 0.74% | 0.20% | €55.72M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 30 Jun 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 23 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.