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Driven Brands Holdings stock

DRVNNASDAQ

Driven Brands Holdings Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US26210V1026

$11.53▼ $0.43 (−3.6%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

55Score 55 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

39 / 100

Price history

−18% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 6 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 12% below it.

Trend change

Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 48).

Distance to the high

The price is 33% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 6 years: 70% (February 2021 to March 2026).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$12.05
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$13.12
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)48
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$10.30
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$17.09
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$1.9B
Div. yield
no dividend
11.7
8.5
on earnings for the next twelve months ($1.35 per share)
Fair value
$13.55

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Driven Brands Holdings Inc. belongs to the Auto (Dealerships) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.9B, is number 17 of 19 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.01B (up 7.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.16.
  • MEQIRI Score 55 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 392 of 596 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
Show more
  • The P/E is 11.7 (Auto (Dealerships) median 14.9, own median of recent years 61.2).
  • Our model puts fair value at $13.55, with the price 15% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

None of our strength checks applies.

Weaknesses

  • Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 2 times.Stability 36
  • Volatile share priceVolatility 53% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 36
55/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are growth and valuation, while momentum and stability hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 56 to 55.

The fundamentals are in the middle range.

Profit consistency63% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)75%
ROIC (12 months)9.5%
Positive free cash flow63% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • weak fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Fairly valued
Price
$11.53
Fair value
$13.55
Gap to fair value
−15%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $9.68 and expensive above $22.58 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $12.38 (cash-flow model) and $14.72 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is slightly below both parts; given how much the stock swings, that still counts as fair.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.9%. At 10.9% the fair value would be $12.55, at 8.9% it would be $14.94.

Valuation metrics

0.88
10.4
Fair value (model)
$13.55
Earnings part $14.72 (earnings per share $0.99 × 14.9)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14.9).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

8 years

In the twelve months to 27 Jun 2026, revenue fell 0.1% on the twelve months before. Up to 2022 the bars include businesses that were later spun off or sold. On a comparable basis, as restated in the SEC annual reports, revenue grew 22.6% a year.

Margins

8 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 51%, operating 14%, net 8%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
2.66
2x
1.47
Cash & equivalents
$184.05M

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
25 Feb 2027in 104 days
Last reported
6 Aug 2026EPS reported $0.29 (expected $0.26)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 4.1% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.

Fiscal 20267 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.16−2.7%
Revenue
$2.01B−0.1%
Fiscal 20277 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.38−4.1%
Revenue
$2.18B−0.2%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +0.2%

Full-year guidance reiterated (revenue $1.95 to $2.05 billion, same-store sales flat to 2%), but results are expected closer to the lower end of the range.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We are reiterating our full year 2026 guidance, revenue of $1.95 billion to $2.05 billion, same-store sales of flat to 2% and net new unit growth of 160 to 190 units.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 4 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.

  • O'Melia Scott L.Sale

    21 Jan 2026, Chief Legal Officer

    Shares
    46,875
    Price
    $16.00
    Value
    $750,000

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Driven Brands Holdings

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

596 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical

Rank 392 of 596
392/ 596
This company
55
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 596 companies55 (median 53)2 above the median
GrowthMedian of 596 companies80 (median 60)20 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 596 companies51 (median 73)22 below the median
ValuationMedian of 575 companies with a value79 (median 73)6 above the median
StabilityMedian of 596 companies36 (median 62)26 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 596 companies58 (median 59)1 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 596 companies39 (median 62)23 below the median
MomentumMedian of 596 companies39 (median 60)21 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Auto (Dealerships)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 19 Auto (Dealerships) stocks

ETFs that hold Driven Brands Holdings

Held by 10 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 27 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 22 May 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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