Dow stock
DOWNYSEDow Inc., Basic MaterialsISIN US2605571031
43Score 43 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
60 / 100
Price history
+46% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 8 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 0.8% below it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 54).
The price is 22% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 8 years: 71% (May 2021 to October 2025).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$30.16
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$32.81
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)54
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$20.95
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$41.87
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Dow Inc. belongs to the Chemicals industry (United States) and, with a market value of $23.56B, is number 4 of 44 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $39.97B (down 7% year on year) and a loss of $2.62B.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $43.97B (up 10%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.59.
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- MEQIRI Score 43 out of 100 (Weak): rank 372 of 467 in Basic Materials, median 58.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
None of our strength checks applies.
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin 0.7%, average of the prior years 6.7% (to 2024).Profitability 14
- Analysts expect falling earningsDown 15.4% a year through 2028 (estimates from 10 analysts).Growth 18
- Loss-makingLoss of $809M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 45
Its standout strengths are valuation and momentum, while growth and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 42 to 43.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- weak fundamentals
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
What lowers it
- low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapA fair value is not meaningful here, so the signal follows the valuation grade.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, weak growth.
Valuation metrics
The model puts the fair value at less than a quarter of the share price. That says more about the assumptions than about the company, so a fair value is not meaningful here and the valuation relies on the P/E and the other metrics.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 4.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2015.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 6%, operating 1%, net −7%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 28 Jan 2027in 77 days
- Last reported
- 22 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.71 (expected $0.64)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 17.0% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $2.59+8.5%
- Revenue
- $43.97B+0.7%
- Earnings per share
- $1.83+17.0%
- Revenue
- $42.95B+0.9%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook mixed
Share price after the results: −4.5%The self help target is raised by $200 million to more than $1.3 billion in benefits, but third quarter EBITDA of about $1.7 billion is expected to be more measured due to higher feedstock costs and uneven demand.
“The actions outlined here demonstrate the tangible progress we are making against our self-help commitment, which we expect will generate a total of more than $1.3 billion in benefits this year, reflecting an increase of $200 million from our prior target.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 23 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Dow
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
467 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 43
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Chemicals
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Nan Ya Plastics1303.TW $75.57B55
- Shin-Etsu Chemical4063.T $65.1B72
- BASFBAS.DE $52.27B54
- Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group600989.SS $23.06B74
- DuPont de NemoursDD $20.62B50
- Rongsheng Petrochemical002493.SZ $17.48B52
- Hengli Petrochemical600346.SS $17.34B50
- Zangge Mining000408.SZ $15.41B72
ETFs that hold Dow
Held by 90 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P 500 Materials Sector UCITS ETF2B7B | 2.03% | 0.15% | €180.37M |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Materials Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDM | 1.93% | 0.15% | €52.49M |
| UBS Global Gender Equality UCITS ETF hEUR accGGUE | 1.08% | 0.23% | €188.95M |
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| Xtrackers MSCI World Materials UCITS ETF 1CXDWM | 0.79% | 0.25% | €715.95M |
| WisdomTree Enhanced Commodity UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTEH | 0.47% | 0.23% | €2.41B |
| iShares MSCI USA Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETFQDVC | 0.27% | 0.20% | €268.74M |
| Deka MSCI USA MC UCITS ETFEL41 | 0.26% | 0.30% | €51.58M |
| Invesco RAFI US Fundamental Value UCITS ETF6PSA | 0.24% | 0.39% | €1.23B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Jun 2024)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.