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Dillard's stock

DDSNYSE

Dillard's, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US2540671011

$695.35▲ $41.24 (+6.3%)Closing price of 5 Oct 2026

80Score 80 out of 100, Strong

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

84 / 100

Price history

+13% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 15% above it.

Trend change

Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 66).

Distance to the high

The price is 4.8% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 93% (May 2007 to November 2008).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$630.08
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$604.39
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)66
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$510.39
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$730.73
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$10.85B
Div. yield
0.17%
12 months
15.9
Fair value
$669.12

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Dillard's, Inc. belongs to the Department Stores industry (United States) and, with a market value of $10.85B, is number 3 of 10 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $6.56B (down 0.4% year on year) and earnings of $570.6M (down 3.9%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $6.6B (up 0.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $39.42 (up 17.9%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 80 out of 100 (Strong): rank 28 of 596 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
  • The P/E is 15.9 (Consumer Cyclical sector median 18.8, own median of recent years 10.5).
  • Our model puts fair value at $669.12, with the price 4% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 44% in fiscal 2025, Consumer Cyclical sector median 6.8%.Profitability 80
  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for over 40 years.Capital allocation 90
  • Share buybacksShare count down 31% since 2020.Capital allocation 90

Weaknesses

  • Analysts expect falling earningsDown 7.6% a year through 2029 (estimates from 2 analysts).Growth 65
80/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are fundamentals and capital allocation.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency90% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)91%
ROIC (12 months)36.1%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk low

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 14 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals
  • price near its 52-week high

Valuation

Valuation signal

Fairly valued
Price
$695.35
Fair value
$669.12
Gap to fair value
+4%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $477.94 and expensive above $1,115.20 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $515.69 (cash-flow model) and $822.54 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $627.82, at 7.8% it would be $730.95.

Valuation metrics

no data
9.9
Fair value (model)
$669.12
Earnings part $822.54 (earnings per share $43.78 × 18.8)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the sector P/E (18.8).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 31 Oct 2026, revenue fell 0.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 38%, operating 10%, net 9%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.22
> 100x
3.03
Cash & equivalents
$1.26B

The balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Earnings

Next earnings
No date announced.
Last reported
13 Aug 2026EPS reported $6.25 (expected $4.29)above expectations

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $243,672 in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Watts J C JrSale

    5 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    400
    Price
    $609.18
    Value
    $243,672

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Dillard's

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

596 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical

Rank 28 of 596
28/ 596
This company
80
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 596 companies80 (median 53)27 above the median
GrowthMedian of 596 companies65 (median 60)5 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 596 companies90 (median 73)17 above the median
ValuationMedian of 575 companies with a value67 (median 73)6 below the median
StabilityMedian of 596 companies84 (median 62)22 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 596 companies90 (median 59)31 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 596 companies84 (median 62)22 above the median
MomentumMedian of 596 companies75 (median 60)15 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Department Stores

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 10 Department Stores stocks

ETFs that hold Dillard's

Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 5 Oct 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Jan 2026
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Aug 2021)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 13 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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