Ctp stock
CTPNV.ASAMSCtp N.V., Real EstateISIN NL00150006R6
53Score 53 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
45 / 100
Price history
−29% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 6 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 16% below it.
Since March 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 56).
The price is 34% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 6 years: 54% (September 2021 to October 2022).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$14.35
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$16.97
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)56
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$13.52
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$21.72
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Ctp N.V. belongs to the Real Estate (Development) industry (Netherlands) and, with a market value of $6.98B, is number 21 of 83 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.08B (up 11.4% year on year) and earnings of $1.2B (up 0%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.05B (down 2.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.12.
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 53 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 186 of 325 in Real Estate, median 55.
- The P/E is 11.6 (Real Estate (Development) median 11.5, own median of recent years 7).
- Our model puts fair value at $8.89, with the price 60% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 21.1% a year since 2020, Real Estate (Development) median 8.6%.Growth 66
- Earnings per share growingUp 24.7% a year since 2020.Growth 66
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 8 fiscal years from 2018 to 2025.Fundamentals 63
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 48% since 2020.Capital allocation 23
- Margin fallingOperating margin 67.7%, average of the prior years 108% (to 2024).Profitability 64
The score is held back by momentum and capital allocation.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak momentum
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $6.35 and expensive above $14.82 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $3.61 (cash-flow model) and $14.17 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.2%. At 9.2% the fair value would be $8.62, at 7.2% it would be $9.27.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (11.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 11.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2018, at around 19% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 78%, operating 68%, net 112%. Last 12 months: net 51%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 25 Feb 2027in 104 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.28 (expected $0.27)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $1.12+0.3%
- Revenue
- $1.05B+2.6%
- Earnings per share
- $1.22−0.7%
- Revenue
- $1.2B+1.9%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −1.4%CTP confirms its full-year 2026 adjusted EPRA earnings per share guidance of EUR 1.01 to EUR 1.03 and expects stable yields and rents by year-end.
“We remain on track to deliver our full-year 2026 company specific adjusted EPRA earnings per share guidance of EUR 1.01-EUR 1.03 per share.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
What happened at Ctp
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
325 rated companies in Real Estate
- This company
- 53
- Sector median
- 55
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Real Estate (Development)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Wharf (Holdings)0004.HK $8.02B44
- Prestige Estates ProjectsPRESTIGE.NS $7.75B50
- Oberoi RealtyOBEROIRLTY.NS $7.02B73
- Deutsche WohnenDWNI.DE $6.98B48
- CPI Property GroupO5G.DE $6.77B40
- AB Sagax (publ)SAGA-B.ST $6.33B62
- Fastighets AB Balder (publ)BALD-B.ST $6.13B55
- NEPI RockcastleNRP.AS $6.11B66
ETFs that hold Ctp
Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vanguard FTSE Developed Europe ex UK UCITS ETF (EUR) DistributingVERX | 0.02% | 0.10% | €5.35B |
| Vanguard FTSE Developed Europe UCITS ETF (EUR) AccumulatingVWCG | 0.01% | 0.10% | €8.08B |
| Vanguard FTSE All-World High Dividend Yield UCITS ETF (USD) AccumulatingVGWE | 0.00% | 0.29% | €13.67B |
Show 4 more
| Vanguard ESG Global All Cap UCITS ETF (USD) AccumulatingV3AA | 0.00% | 0.24% | €1.69B |
| Vanguard FTSE Developed World UCITS ETF (USD) AccumulatingVGVF | 0.00% | 0.12% | €10.33B |
| Vanguard FTSE All-World UCITS ETF (USD) AccumulatingVWCE | 0.00% | 0.14% | €79.59B |
| Vanguard FTSE Global All-Cap UCITS ETF Accum USDVGLA | 0.00% | 0.07% | €3.9B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 27 Feb 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.