Custom Truck One Source stock
CTOSNYSECustom Truck One Source, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US23204X1037
47Score 47 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
84 / 100
Price history
+73% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 9 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 14% above it.
Since July 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 63).
The price is 14% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 9 years: 83% (April 2019 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$9.54
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$9.04
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)63
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$5.34
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$11.97
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Custom Truck One Source, Inc. belongs to the Rental & Leasing Services industry (United States) and, with a market value of $2.35B, is number 17 of 20 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.94B (up 7.9% year on year) and a loss of $31.05M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.12B (up 8.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.14.
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- MEQIRI Score 47 out of 100 (Weak): rank 839 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 80.6 (Rental & Leasing Services median 20.4, own median of recent years 29.4).
- Our model puts fair value at $2.61, with the price 295% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 45.1% a year since 2020, Rental & Leasing Services median 13.6%.Growth 70
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 45.8% a year through 2028 (estimates from 4 analysts).Growth 70
- Share buybacksShare count down 8% since 2020.
Weaknesses
- Above fair valuePrice 295% above the fair value of $2.61.Valuation 25
- Richly valuedP/E 80.6, Rental & Leasing Services median 20.4, own median 29.4.Valuation 25
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 0.8 times.Stability 29
Its standout strengths are technical analysis and momentum, while valuation and fundamentals hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- high price swings
- price up very strongly over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $1.87 and expensive above $4.36 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Valuation metrics
From earnings times the industry P/E (20.4) alone; there are no viable cash flows for the cash-flow model.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 5.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2018, at around 34% per year. From 2018 revenue is reported differently (for example gross instead of net), so earlier years are not comparable and not shown.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 19%, operating 7%, net −2%. From 2018 revenue is reported differently (for example gross instead of net), so earlier years are not comparable and not shown.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 9 Mar 2027in 116 days
- Last reported
- 26 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.01 (expected $0.01)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2026 earnings estimate by 3.7% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $0.14+3.7%
- Revenue
- $2.12B−0.3%
- Earnings per share
- $0.30+2.2%
- Revenue
- $2.25B+0.4%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +19.5%Custom Truck One Source raised its 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance for the third time this year, to 447.5 to 460 million, and also increased SER segment revenue guidance to 870 to 890 million, while affirming consolidated revenue guidance of 2.1 to 2.2 billion. Levered free cash flow, however, is …
“We are also raising our SER segment revenue guidance to $870 to $890 million and are affirming our previous consolidated revenue guidance in the range of $2.1 billion to $2.2 billion Long term sustained end market demand buoyed by secular megatrends combined with our ability to provide exceptional execution, on …”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 27 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Custom Truck One Source
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1018 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 47
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Rental & Leasing Services
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Avis Budget GroupCAR $4.44B46
- EquipmentShare.comEQPT $3.92B46
- SixtSIX2.DE $3.92B57
- WillScot HoldingsWSC $3.6B44
- McGrath RentCorpMGRC $3.17B70
- VestisVSTS $1.88B49
- Willis Lease FinanceWLFC $980.87M50
- Hertz Global HoldingsHTZ $486.28M33
ETFs that hold Custom Truck One Source
Held by 7 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.02% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.02% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.02% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
Show 4 more
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.01% | 0.30% | €964.08M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.01% | 0.43% | €2.5B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.01% | 0.35% | €8.27B |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.00% | 0.25% | €178.55M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.