Cerence stock
CRNCNASDAQCerence Inc., TechnologyISIN US1567271093
41Score 41 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
42 / 100
Price history
−10% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 7 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 7.5% below it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 47).
The price is 38% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 7 years: 98% (February 2021 to August 2024).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$8.33
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$8.83
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)47
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$5.96
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$13.10
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Cerence Inc. belongs to the Software (Application) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $369.08M, is number 176 of 188 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $251.78M (down 24% year on year) and a loss of $18.71M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $312.76M (up 24.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.73 (up 12.5%).
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- MEQIRI Score 41 out of 100 (Weak): rank 732 of 854 in Technology, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $5.18, with the price 58% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 18.9% a year through 2028 (estimates from 3 analysts).Growth 50
Weaknesses
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 0.1 times.Stability 39
- Margin fallingOperating margin 5.2%, average of the prior years 11.8% (to 2024).Profitability 34
- Loss-makingLoss of $15.39M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 49
The score is held back by capital allocation and momentum.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 44 to 41.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $3.45 and expensive above $10.35 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 11.6%. At 12.6% the fair value would be $4.52, at 10.6% it would be $6.03.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 25.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2016.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 72%, operating 5%, net −7%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 18 Nov 2026in 5 days
- Last reported
- 6 Aug 2026EPS reported $0.15 (expected $0.20)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $0.78+2.6%
- Revenue
- $288.87M0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $1.020.0%
- Revenue
- $299.01M0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −0.8%Fiscal 2026 free cash flow guidance raised again and other forecasts narrowed; fourth-quarter revenue is expected to be lower than the third.
“Looking ahead to the rest of the fiscal year, we are again raising our fiscal year 2026 free cash flow guidance.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 5 insiders sold, $3.44M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Krzanich Brian MSale
9 Oct 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 131,715
- Price
- $8.26
- Value
- $1.09M
- Rodriquez AntonioSale
7 Oct 2026, CFO
- Shares
- 76,614
- Price
- $8.00
- Value
- $612,912
- Krzanich Brian MSale
7 Oct 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 21,703
- Price
- $8.00
- Value
- $173,624
Show 4 more
- Mentz ChristianSale
7 Oct 2026, EVP, Chief Revenue Officer
- Shares
- 48,923
- Price
- $8.00
- Value
- $391,384
- Salinas JenniferSale
7 Oct 2026, EVP Chief Admin Officer
- Shares
- 66,153
- Price
- $8.00
- Value
- $529,224
- Schanz NilsSale
7 Oct 2026, EVP Product & Technology
- Shares
- 52,439
- Price
- $8.00
- Value
- $419,512
- Salinas JenniferSale
10 Aug 2026, EVP Chief Admin Officer
- Shares
- 25,998
- Price
- $8.83
- Value
- $229,508
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Cerence
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
854 rated companies in Technology
- This company
- 41
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Software (Application)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- CS DiscoLAW $427.63M48
- MaterialiseMTLS $387M51
- AgoraAPI $378.93M49
- MNTNMNTN $373.27M68
- Better CollectiveBETCO.ST $365.7M54
- Lime TechnologiesLIME.ST $362.08M76
- mF InternationalMFI $353.13M31
- 8x8EGHT $339.94M47
ETFs that hold Cerence
Held by 4 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence UCITS ETFXB0T | 0.12% | 0.50% | €138.84M |
| iShares Electric Vehicles and Driving Technology UCITS ETFIEVD | 0.06% | 0.40% | €501.05M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.01% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
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| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.01% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 30 Sep 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Nov 2021)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.