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Copa Holdings stock

CPANYSE

Copa Holdings, S.A., IndustrialsISIN PAP310761054

$142.82▼ $6.15 (−4.1%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

73Score 73 out of 100, Strong

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

81 / 100

Price history

+12% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 7.0% above it.

Trend change

Since November 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 62).

Distance to the high

The price is 9.1% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 83% (January 2014 to March 2020).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$134.19
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$133.47
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)62
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$107.81
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$157.19
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$5.83B
Div. yield
4.72%
12 months
9.3
7.7
on earnings for the next twelve months ($18.54 per share)
Fair value
$349.62

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Copa Holdings, S.A. belongs to the Airlines and Airports industry (Panama) and, with a market value of $5.83B, is number 30 of 51 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $3.62B (up 5% year on year) and earnings of $671.65M (up 10.4%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $4.45B (up 22.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $14.97 (down 8%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 73 out of 100 (Strong): rank 97 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
  • The P/E is 9.3 (Airlines and Airports median 16.1, own median of recent years 11.9).
  • Our model puts fair value at $349.62, with the price 59% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Below fair valuePrice 59% below the fair value of $349.62.Valuation 99
  • Modestly valuedP/E 9.3, Airlines and Airports median 16.1, own median 11.9.Valuation 99
  • High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 19.8% in fiscal 2025, Airlines and Airports median 7.2%.Profitability 76

Weaknesses

None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.

73/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are valuation and technical analysis.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 75 to 73.

The fundamentals are in the middle range.

Profit consistency90% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)27%
ROIC (12 months)17.6%
Positive free cash flow80% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly undervalued
Price
$142.82
Fair value
$349.62
Gap to fair value
−59%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $249.73 and expensive above $582.70 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $452.92 (cash-flow model) and $246.33 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 11.2%. At 12.2% the fair value would be $317.70, at 10.2% it would be $391.91.

Valuation metrics

0.57
5.9
Fair value (model)
$349.62
Earnings part $246.33 (earnings per share $15.32 × 16.1)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (16.1).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 14.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 8% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 36%, operating 23%, net 19%.

Debt & balance sheet

Fiscal 2025
0.92
8.9x
1.23
Cash & equivalents
$1.34B

The balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202611 analysts
Earnings per share
$14.97−2.8%
Revenue
$4.45B+0.4%
Fiscal 202711 analysts
Earnings per share
$19.090.0%
Revenue
$4.82B+0.7%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: −5.7%

Full-year outlook updated: operating margin of 17% to 19%, capacity guidance revised upward, and a high load factor of about 87% expected.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“Based on these demand strengths, and current fuel cost projections, we are updating our full year outlook and now expect an operating margin for 2026 to be in the range of 17 to 19 percent.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

What happened at Copa Holdings

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

1018 rated companies in Industrials

Rank 97 of 1018
97/ 1018
This company
73
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 1,018 companies76 (median 53)23 above the median
GrowthMedian of 1,018 companies70 (median 63)7 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 1,018 companies65 (median 71)6 below the median
ValuationMedian of 974 companies with a value99 (median 64)35 above the median
StabilityMedian of 1,018 companies60 (median 65)5 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 1,018 companies73 (median 55)18 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 1,018 companies81 (median 59)22 above the median
MomentumMedian of 1,018 companies70 (median 57)13 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Airlines and Airports

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 51 Airlines and Airports stocks

ETFs that hold Copa Holdings

Held by 1 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 3 Nov 2026)
  • Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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