Coty stock
COTYNYSECoty Inc., Consumer DefensiveISIN US2220702037
46Score 46 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
83 / 100
Price history
+6.9% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 13 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 57% above it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 72).
The price is 6.9% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 13 years: 94% (July 2015 to June 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$3.05
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$2.56
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)72
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$1.85
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$4.33
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Coty Inc. belongs to the Household & Personal Products industry (United States) and, with a market value of $3.55B, is number 28 of 39 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $5.81B (down 1.5% year on year) and a loss of $604.8M.
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $5.73B (down 1.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.34 (up 63.7%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 46 out of 100 (Weak): rank 253 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
- Our model puts fair value at $5.00, with the price 19% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
None of our strength checks applies.
Weaknesses
- Loss-makingLoss of $563.2M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 35
- Turned to a lossEarnings per share from $0.32 in 2022 to −$0.70.Growth 43
- DilutionShare count up 15% since 2021.Capital allocation 23
Its standout strengths are momentum and technical analysis, while profitability and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 44 to 46.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- high price swings
What lowers it
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $3.57 and expensive above $8.33 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $4.23, at 7.8% it would be $6.15.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 0.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2010, at about 3% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 63%, operating −1%, net −10%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 4 Feb 2027in 84 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.16 (expected $0.12)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2028 earnings estimate by 6.8% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $0.34+5.9%
- Revenue
- $5.73B+0.4%
- Earnings per share
- $0.26+6.8%
- Revenue
- $5.25B+0.4%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −9.6%Guidance is given for the first quarter only; for fiscal 2027 the company targets EBITDA and free cash flow close to fiscal 2026 levels.
“While we've given guidance for Q1 only, we are targeting to deliver fiscal year '27 EBITDA and free cash flow close to fiscal '26 levels.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 20 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q4 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Coty
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 46
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Household & Personal Products
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Reynolds Consumer ProductsREYN $5.23B63
- CupidCUPID.NS $5.08B71
- Colgate-Palmolive (India)COLPAL.NS $5.06B63
- Inter ParfumsIPAR $4.27B84
- InterparfumsITP.PA $3.56B81
- Société BICBB.PA $2.93B67
- Newell BrandsNWL $2.5B46
- Spectrum Brands HoldingsSPB $2.03B64
ETFs that hold Coty
Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.08% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.08% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.05% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
Show 5 more
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.05% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.03% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.02% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.01% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.00% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 30 Jun 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Sep 2023)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.