ConocoPhillips stock
COPNYSEEnergyISIN US20825C1045
76Score 76 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
75 / 100
Price history
+57% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 14% above it.
Since January 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 35).
The price is 9.1% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 74% (July 2014 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$137.16
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$123.13
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)35
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$86.62
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$154.03
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- ConocoPhillips belongs to the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry (United States) and, with a market value of $165.6B, is the largest of 69 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $58.94B (up 7.7% year on year) and earnings of $7.99B (down 13.6%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $73.76B (up 25.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $11.49 (up 87.1%).
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- MEQIRI Score 76 out of 100 (Strong): rank 17 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
- The P/E is 14.5 (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 10.8, own median of recent years 11.8).
- Our model puts fair value at $160.75, with the price 14% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 10 years.Capital allocation 75
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 16% since 2020.
- Analysts expect falling earningsDown 5.2% a year through 2028 (estimates from 18 analysts).
- Margin fallingOperating margin 19.2%, average of the prior years 26.3% (to 2024).
Its standout strengths are growth and momentum.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 74 to 76.
Fundamentals are strong, with strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $114.82 and expensive above $267.91 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $217.82 (cash-flow model) and $103.67 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $142.54, at 7.8% it would be $188.06.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (10.8).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 13.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has declined since 2006 (-6% per year), so it is worth watching closely.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 25%, operating 19%, net 14%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 4 Feb 2027in 84 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported $3.27 (expected $3.05)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 8.3% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $11.49+3.8%
- Revenue
- $73.76B+1.3%
- Earnings per share
- $10.64+8.3%
- Revenue
- $69.12B+2.8%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +2.2%Full year guidance items are unchanged and third quarter production is guided at 2.290 million to 2.320 million barrels of oil equivalent per day.
“The third quarter production our guidance range is 2.290 to 2.320 million barrels of oil equivalent per day. This improvement from the second quarter is driven by a production ramp in Qatar, and continued Lower 48 growth.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 3 insiders sold, $3.53M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at ConocoPhillips
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
266 rated companies in Energy
- This company
- 76
- Sector median
- 60
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
The next smaller companies by market value
- CNOOC0883.HK $137.64B81
- Canadian Natural ResourcesCNQ $100.79B78
- EOG ResourcesEOG $79.73B85
- Occidental PetroleumOXY $57.23B64
- Diamondback EnergyFANG $50.52B63
- Devon EnergyDVN $49.45B64
- Woodside Energy GroupWDS $40.26B58
- EQTEQT $32.96B62
ETFs that hold ConocoPhillips
Held by 97 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Oil & Gas Exploration & Production UCITS ETF USD (Acc)IS0D | 10.89% | 0.55% | €373.7M |
| iShares S&P 500 Energy Sector UCITS ETFQDVF | 7.22% | 0.15% | €1.6B |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Energy Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDE | 7.20% | 0.15% | €848.33M |
Show 5 more
| Xtrackers MSCI USA Energy UCITS ETF 1DXUEN | 7.10% | 0.12% | €126.6M |
| iShares MSCI World Energy Sector UCITS ETF USD5MVW | 4.46% | 0.18% | €1.31B |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Energy UCITS ETF 1CXDW0 | 4.42% | 0.25% | €1.83B |
| WisdomTree Enhanced Commodity UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTEH | 3.62% | 0.23% | €2.41B |
| Invesco S&P 500 QVM UCITS ETFQVMP | 2.47% | 0.35% | €50.82M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 17 Jul 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.