Coffee Stain Studios stock: fair value
COFFEE-B.STThe fair value of Coffee Stain Studios under our model is $1.50, the price is 33% above.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $1.15 and expensive above $2.14 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.8%. At 8.8% the fair value would be $1.28, at 6.8% it would be $1.81.
Where the number comes from
From the cash-flow model alone; after a one-off collapse in earnings there is no industry value.
Ten-year cash-flow model from smoothed free cash flow and its past growth until it reaches 2.2%. Discounted at 7.8% (government bond yield 2.2% plus beta 1.32 times a risk premium of 4.2%); no analyst estimates were available.
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the cash flow model arrives at $1.50 per share: free cash flow for the next ten years, each year discounted to today at 7.8%, plus the terminal value for the years after. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Year | Free cash flow | Source | Discount factor | Present value (discounted at 7.8%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $25.98M | extrapolated at −14.4% | 0.9278 | $24.11M |
| 2028 | $23.54M | extrapolated at −9.4% | 0.8609 | $20.26M |
| 2029 | $22.14M | extrapolated at −5.9% | 0.7988 | $17.69M |
| 2030 | $21.37M | extrapolated at −3.5% | 0.7411 | $15.84M |
| 2031 | $20.98M | extrapolated at −1.8% | 0.6877 | $14.43M |
| 2032 | $20.86M | extrapolated at −0.6% | 0.6381 | $13.31M |
| 2033 | $20.91M | extrapolated at 0.2% | 0.5920 | $12.38M |
| 2034 | $21.08M | extrapolated at 0.8% | 0.5493 | $11.58M |
| 2035 | $21.33M | extrapolated at 1.2% | 0.5097 | $10.87M |
| 2036 | $21.66M | extrapolated at 1.5% | 0.4729 | $10.24M |
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Sum of present values (ten years) | $150.7M |
| Terminal value: cash flow 2036 × (1 + 2.2%) / (7.8% − 2.2%) | $395.41M |
| Present value of terminal value (× 0.4729) | $186.99M |
| Equity value (sum plus present value of terminal value) | $337.69M |
| Shares (diluted) | 225.00M |
| Value per share (equity value divided by shares) | $1.50 |
| Fair value (from the cash flow model alone) | $1.50 |
The model uses free cash flow after interest, which belongs to shareholders, discounted at the cost of equity. Net debt is therefore not deducted again.
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Mar 2026
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = SEK 9.9729)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 17 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.