Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc stock
CMCLAMEXBasic MaterialsISIN JE00BF0XVB15
67Score 67 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
41 / 100
Price history
−29% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 15% below it.
Since November 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 39).
The price is 39% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 85% (March 2008 to December 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$23.34
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$23.44
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)39
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$16.79
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$32.85
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc belongs to the Gold industry (Jersey) and, with a market value of $386.7M, is number 51 of 53 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $254.14M (up 38.9% year on year) and earnings of $55.22M (up 208.5%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $315.63M (up 24.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $3.15 (up 3%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 67 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 112 of 467 in Basic Materials, median 58.
- The P/E is 5.9 (Gold median 12.2, own median of recent years 8.6).
- Our model puts fair value at $13.85, with the price 44% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Modestly valuedP/E 5.9, Gold median 12.2, own median 8.6.Valuation 74
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 27.3% in fiscal 2025, Gold median 12.3%.Profitability 91
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 12 years.Capital allocation 54
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 67% since 2020.Capital allocation 54
- Margin may fall backOperating margin 45.5%, average of the prior years 23.9%, which ranged from 7.5% to 40.7%. After peaks like this, the margin was more than a quarter lower two years later in 44 of 100 cases, against 24 of 100 for other companies with high margins.
- Volatile share priceVolatility 58% a year over the last 12 months.
Its standout strengths are profitability and growth, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 68 to 67.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- price far below its 52-week high
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $9.89 and expensive above $23.08 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $2.71 (cash-flow model) and $24.99 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.1%. At 10.1% the fair value would be $13.63, at 8.1% it would be $14.17.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (12.2).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 30.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 18% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 54%, operating 45%, net 22%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 24 Mar 2027in 132 days
- Last reported
- 12 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.11 (expected $0.39)below expectations
Analyst estimates
- Earnings per share
- $3.15+2.7%
- Revenue
- $315.63M+0.3%
- Earnings per share
- $3.12+4.0%
- Revenue
- $336.31M+2.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: +5.3%Cost guidance increased: on-mine cash cost per ounce up $100 to $1,600 to $1,800 and all-in sustaining cost up from $2,100 to $2,500 to $2,700 per ounce.
“Our all-in sustaining cost per ounce sold has increased by some $400, up from $2,100 per ounce to $2,500 an ounce at the lower end, and increasing to $2,700 an ounce at the top end of the guidance range.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 10 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
2 insiders bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $1.08M in total. One insider sold, $460,191 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Ndlovu JulyPurchase
13 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 21,400
- Price
- $23.03
- Value
- $492,842
- Gapare VictorPurchase
11 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 11,750
- Price
- $18.70
- Value
- $219,725
- Ndlovu JulySale
18 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 20,000
- Price
- $23.01
- Value
- $460,191
Show 1 more
- Ndlovu JulyPurchase
13 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 15,000
- Price
- $24.81
- Value
- $372,150
Prices filed in £ converted to dollars at the exchange rate of the trade date.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
467 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 67
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Gold
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Gold RoyaltyGROY $683.46M39
- Osisko Gold GroupOGG $664.65M29
- Galiano GoldGAU $627.82M66
- New Found GoldNFGC $622.66M32
- Contango Silver & GoldCTGO $482.55M42
- Vista GoldVGZ $398.5M43
- International Tower Hill MinesTHM $347.98M29
- Idaho Strategic ResourcesIDR $319.85M61
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 22 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.