Commercial Metals stock
CMCNYSECommercial Metals Company, Basic MaterialsISIN US2017231034
66Score 66 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
50 / 100
Price history
+4.1% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 6.9% below it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 53).
The price is 23% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 84% (June 2008 to November 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$64.88
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$68.61
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)53
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$57.35
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$83.21
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Commercial Metals Company belongs to the Steel industry (United States) and, with a market value of $7.02B, is number 23 of 43 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $9.39B (up 20.5% year on year) and earnings of $655.85M (up 674.7%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $10.29B (up 9.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $6.90 (up 1.1%).
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- MEQIRI Score 66 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 125 of 467 in Basic Materials, median 58.
- The P/E is 10.9 (Steel median 17, own median of recent years 10.5).
- Our model puts fair value at $99.21, with the price 35% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 39 years.Capital allocation 72
- Below fair valuePrice 35% below the fair value of $99.21.Valuation 92
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2017 to 2026.Fundamentals 71
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are valuation and capital allocation.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $76.31 and expensive above $141.72 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $98.34 (cash-flow model) and $100.07 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.2%. At 11.2% the fair value would be $92.65, at 9.2% it would be $108.20.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (17).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In fiscal 2026, revenue rose 20.5% on the prior year. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2007.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 19%, operating 9%, net 7%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 11 Jan 2027in 60 days
- Last reported
- 15 Oct 2026EPS reported $2.09 (expected $1.95)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 5.7% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $6.90−5.7%
- Revenue
- $10.29B+1.5%
- Earnings per share
- $6.91−0.6%
- Revenue
- $10.6B+3.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +0.1%No change to guidance is stated, Europe adjusted EBITDA is expected to rise meaningfully versus the prior quarter, while Construction Solutions came in below expectations.
“Within our Construction Solutions Group, adjusted EBITDA is expected to be down sequentially reflecting typical seasonal trends impacting the end market activity in this segment.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 15 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q4 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
2 insiders bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $604,468 in total.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Commercial Metals
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
467 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 66
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Steel
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- GerdauGGB $7.55B55
- Cleveland-CliffsCLF $7.5B41
- voestalpineVOE.VI $7.32B51
- JFE Holdings5411.T $7.24B50
- NMDCNMDC.NS $6.73B68
- APL Apollo TubesAPLAPOLLO.NS $6.51B72
- Jindal StainlessJSL.NS $6.31B62
- WelspunWELCORP.NS $6.23B71
ETFs that hold Commercial Metals
Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.33% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.28% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.24% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
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| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.24% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.20% | 0.30% | €5.27B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.16% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.12% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.07% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Aug 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 8 Aug 2025)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.