Groupe CRIT stock: fair value
CEN.PAThe fair value of Groupe CRIT under our model is $84.31, the price is 35% below.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $70.26 and expensive above $105.39 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $110.55 (cash-flow model) and $58.08 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.8%. At 8.8% the fair value would be $75.31, at 6.8% it would be $97.80.
Where the number comes from
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (18.2).
Ten-year cash-flow model from smoothed free cash flow and its past growth until it reaches 2.8%. Discounted at 7.8% (floor: government bond yield 2.8% plus 5 percentage points, since beta 1 times the risk premium would give less); no analyst estimates were available.
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the cash flow model arrives at $110.55 per share: free cash flow for the next ten years, each year discounted to today at 7.8%, plus the terminal value for the years after. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Year | Free cash flow | Source | Discount factor | Present value (discounted at 7.8%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $78.36M | extrapolated at −6.2% | 0.9278 | $72.7M |
| 2027 | $75.59M | extrapolated at −3.5% | 0.8608 | $65.07M |
| 2028 | $74.36M | extrapolated at −1.6% | 0.7987 | $59.39M |
| 2029 | $74.12M | extrapolated at −0.3% | 0.7410 | $54.93M |
| 2030 | $74.58M | extrapolated at 0.6% | 0.6876 | $51.28M |
| 2031 | $75.52M | extrapolated at 1.3% | 0.6379 | $48.18M |
| 2032 | $76.82M | extrapolated at 1.7% | 0.5919 | $45.47M |
| 2033 | $78.39M | extrapolated at 2.0% | 0.5492 | $43.05M |
| 2034 | $80.16M | extrapolated at 2.3% | 0.5095 | $40.84M |
| 2035 | $82.1M | extrapolated at 2.4% | 0.4727 | $38.81M |
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Sum of present values (ten years) | $519.72M |
| Terminal value: cash flow 2035 × (1 + 2.8%) / (7.8% − 2.8%) | $1.69B |
| Present value of terminal value (× 0.4727) | $797.77M |
| Equity value (sum plus present value of terminal value) | $1.32B |
| Shares (diluted) | 11.92M |
| Value per share (equity value divided by shares) | $110.55 |
| Earnings per share, last twelve months | $3.19 |
| × 18.2 (industry P/E) | $58.08 |
| Fair value (average of both parts) | $84.31 |
The model uses free cash flow after interest, which belongs to shareholders, discounted at the cost of equity. Net debt is therefore not deducted again.
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 19 Dec 2025)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.