Christian Dior stock: fair value
CDI.PAThe fair value of Christian Dior under our model is $959.93, the price is 50% below.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $685.66 and expensive above $1,599.88 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $1,427.78 (cash-flow model) and $492.07 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.8%. At 8.8% the fair value would be $842.46, at 6.8% it would be $1,136.01.
Where the number comes from
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (17.6).
Ten-year cash-flow model from smoothed free cash flow and its past growth until it reaches 2.8%. Discounted at 7.8% (floor: government bond yield 2.8% plus 5 percentage points, since beta 1.11 times the risk premium would give less); no analyst estimates were available.
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the cash flow model arrives at $1,427.78 per share: free cash flow for the next ten years, each year discounted to today at 7.8%, plus the terminal value for the years after. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Year | Free cash flow | Source | Discount factor | Present value (discounted at 7.8%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $14.22B | extrapolated at −2.4% | 0.9278 | $13.2B |
| 2027 | $14.1B | extrapolated at −0.9% | 0.8608 | $12.14B |
| 2028 | $14.14B | extrapolated at 0.2% | 0.7987 | $11.29B |
| 2029 | $14.28B | extrapolated at 1.0% | 0.7410 | $10.58B |
| 2030 | $14.5B | extrapolated at 1.5% | 0.6876 | $9.97B |
| 2031 | $14.77B | extrapolated at 1.9% | 0.6379 | $9.43B |
| 2032 | $15.1B | extrapolated at 2.2% | 0.5919 | $8.93B |
| 2033 | $15.45B | extrapolated at 2.4% | 0.5492 | $8.48B |
| 2034 | $15.83B | extrapolated at 2.5% | 0.5095 | $8.07B |
| 2035 | $16.24B | extrapolated at 2.6% | 0.4727 | $7.68B |
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Sum of present values (ten years) | $99.77B |
| Terminal value: cash flow 2035 × (1 + 2.8%) / (7.8% − 2.8%) | $333.85B |
| Present value of terminal value (× 0.4727) | $157.82B |
| Equity value (sum plus present value of terminal value) | $257.59B |
| Shares (diluted) | 180.41M |
| Value per share (equity value divided by shares) | $1,427.78 |
| Earnings per share, last twelve months | $27.96 |
| × 17.6 (industry P/E) | $492.07 |
| Fair value (average of both parts) | $959.93 |
The model uses free cash flow after interest, which belongs to shareholders, discounted at the cost of equity. Net debt is therefore not deducted again.
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 25 Sep 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.
