Catena stock
CATE.STSTOCatena AB (publ), Real EstateISIN SE0001664707
58Score 58 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
53 / 100
Price history
−13% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 4.3% below it.
Since May 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 76).
The price is 21% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 79% (April 2011 to July 2012).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$36.19
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$41.54
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)76
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$33.15
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$50.30
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Catena AB (publ) belongs to the Real Estate (Development) industry (Sweden) and, with a market value of $2.64B, is number 36 of 84 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $268.43M (up 21.6% year on year) and earnings of $165.53M (up 52.2%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $317.44M (up 18.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.89 (up 13.2%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 58 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 112 of 327 in Real Estate, median 55.
- The P/E is 11.4 (Real Estate (Development) median 11.4, own median of recent years 11.3).
- Our model puts fair value at $50.62, with the price 22% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High marginNet margin 61.7% in fiscal 2025, Real Estate (Development) median 37.3%.Profitability 66
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 16.1% a year since 2020, Real Estate (Development) median 8.3%.Growth 55
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 13 years.
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 60% since 2020.Capital allocation 28
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and valuation, while momentum and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $42.19 and expensive above $63.28 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $61.42 (cash-flow model) and $39.83 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.2%. At 8.2% the fair value would be $45.37, at 6.2% it would be $58.52.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (11.4).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 17.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2010, at around 36% per year. From 2010 revenue only includes continuing operations, sold or discontinued divisions have been reclassified. Earlier years are not comparable and not shown, and the margins for 2010 are not measured.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 83%, operating 81%, net 62%. From 2010 revenue only includes continuing operations, sold or discontinued divisions have been reclassified. Earlier years are not comparable and not shown, and the margins for 2010 are not measured.
Debt & balance sheet
Fiscal 2025Moderate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 19 Feb 2027in 99 days
- Last reported
- 23 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.73 (expected $0.70)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2026 earnings estimate by 6.8% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $2.89+6.8%
- Revenue
- $317.44M−0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $2.98+0.2%
- Revenue
- $354.15M+2.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook mixed
Share price after the results: +4.5%Catena expects activity to slow somewhat due to higher interest rates, but sees rising demand from increased Nordic consumption and lower refinancing margins in bank markets.
“But due to higher interest rates, we expect the activity to slow down a bit.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 23 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
What happened at Catena
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
327 rated companies in Real Estate
- This company
- 58
- Sector median
- 55
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Real Estate (Development)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- St. JoeJOE $4.06B76
- Allreal HoldingALLN.SW $3.87B55
- Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B. de C.V.VTMX $3.2B72
- Mobimo HoldingMOBN.SW $3.13B56
- WallenstamWALL-B.ST $2.5B57
- TAG ImmobilienTEG.DE $2.41B47
- Investis HoldingIREN.SW $2.23B53
- HufvudstadenHUFV-A.ST $2.18B58
ETFs that hold Catena
Held by 21 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares European Property Yield UCITS ETFIPRE | 1.35% | 0.40% | €193.25M |
| Xtrackers FTSE Developed Europe ex UK Real Estate UCITS ETF 1CXREA | 1.23% | 0.33% | €18.23M |
| State Street SPDR FTSE EPRA Europe ex UK Real Estate UCITS ETFZPRP | 1.21% | 0.30% | €113.99M |
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| Xtrackers FTSE Developed Europe Real Estate UCITS ETF 1CD5BK | 0.83% | 0.33% | €639.74M |
| WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Dividend UCITS ETFWTES | 0.32% | 0.38% | €86.74M |
| UBS FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Green UCITS ETF USD disCSYZ | 0.26% | 0.25% | €207.23M |
| iShares OMX Stockholm Capped UCITS ETFOM3X | 0.20% | 0.10% | €197.05M |
| Xtrackers MSCI Europe Small Cap UCITS ETF 1CXXSC | 0.10% | 0.30% | €3.43B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = SEK 9.9317)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Nov 2023)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.