Burford Capital stock
BURNYSEBurford Capital Limited, Financial ServicesISIN GG00BMGYLN96
38Score 38 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
42 / 100
Price history
−61% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 12 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 32% below it.
Since September 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 52).
The price is 65% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 12 years: 89% (August 2018 to October 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$3.71
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$5.11
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)52
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$3.00
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$9.87
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Burford Capital Limited belongs to the Asset Management industry (Guernsey) and, with a market value of $759.8M, is number 98 of 131 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $193.77M (down 43.2% year on year) and earnings of $62.57M (down 57.3%).
- MEQIRI Score 38 out of 100 (Weak): rank 937 of 976 in Financial Services, median 68.
Show more
- The P/E is 20.8 (Asset Management median 14, own median of recent years 13.6).
- Our model puts fair value at $2.42, with the price 51% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
None of our strength checks applies.
Weaknesses
- Share price fell sharplyDown 62% over the last 12 months.Momentum 30
- Margin fallingOperating margin 43.4%, average of the prior years 74.3% (to 2024).Profitability 26
- Revenue shrinkingRevenue down 6.9% a year since 2020.Growth 5
The score is held back by profitability and growth.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 37 to 38.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- high price swings
What lowers it
- low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $1.61 and expensive above $4.84 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $2.51 (cash-flow model) and $2.32 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.9%. At 9.9% the fair value would be $2.21, at 7.9% it would be $2.73.
Valuation metrics
Half from the dividend model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In fiscal 2025, revenue fell 43.2% on the prior year. Revenue has grown strongly since 2011, at around 16% per year.
Margins
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: operating 43%, net 32%. Banks and insurers have no gross margin, and their net margin is not comparable with other industries. The score leaves both out. Last 12 months: net 14%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterFor banks and insurers, deposits and liabilities are the business. Debt to equity and the current ratio say little here, and the score does not rate them.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 25 Feb 2027in 105 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.10 (expected $0.09)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 3.8% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- −$7.04−3.8%
- Revenue
- $585.3M0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $0.55+8.8%
- Revenue
- $498.75M+1.7%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −7.8%No guidance changed; expects healthy demand and a strong pipeline in 2026.
“That's a strong start to the year, and we expect healthy demand and a strong pipeline as we move throughout 2026.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 8 May 2026 (fiscal Q1 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Burford Capital
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
976 rated companies in Financial Services
- This company
- 38
- Sector median
- 68
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Asset Management
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Kayne Anderson BDCKBDC $854.8M67
- MidCap Financial InvestmentMFIC $847.61M43
- Prospect CapitalPSEC $835.48M31
- Mutares SE & Co. KGaAMUX.DE $823.8M55
- Carlyle Secured LendingCGBD $775.32M61
- Fidus InvestmentFDUS $742.77M67
- Bain Capital Specialty FinanceBCSF $731.07M63
- Investment AB Öresund (publ)ORES.ST $712.15M76
ETFs that hold Burford Capital
Held by 3 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.04% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.04% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.01% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 1 May 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.