Bayerische Motoren Werke stock
BMW.DEXETRABayerische Motoren Werke AG, Consumer CyclicalISIN DE0005190003WKN 519000
50Score 50 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
44 / 100
Price history
−36% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 17% below it.
Since March 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 49).
The price is 41% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 69% (March 2015 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$64.53
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$76.33
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)49
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$58.06
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$108.20
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Bayerische Motoren Werke AG belongs to the Auto (Manufacturers) industry (Germany) and, with a market value of $38.59B, is number 12 of 55 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $148.49B (down 6.3% year on year) and earnings of $8.12B (up 0.1%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $141.36B (down 4.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $6.85 (down 48.5%).
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- MEQIRI Score 50 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 454 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 5.6 (Auto (Manufacturers) median 19.1, own median of recent years 6.7).
- Our model puts fair value at $143.79, with the price 55% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Modestly valuedP/E 5.6, Auto (Manufacturers) median 19.1, own median 6.7.Valuation 100
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 7.59%, Auto (Manufacturers) median 4.31%.Capital allocation 64
- Below fair valuePrice 55% below the fair value of $143.79.Valuation 100
Weaknesses
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$4.81B over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 45
- Share price fell sharplyDown 36% over the last 12 months.Momentum 29
Its standout strengths are valuation and stability, while profitability and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $102.70 and expensive above $239.64 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $69.64 (cash-flow model) and $217.93 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.6%. At 11.6% the fair value would be $139.08, at 9.6% it would be $149.80.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (19.1).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 7.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 5% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 21%, operating 7%, net 5%.
Debt & balance sheet
Fiscal 2025Meaningfully leveraged, but the interest bill is comfortably covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 11 Mar 2027in 119 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported $2.77 (expected $2.10)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 6.8% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $6.85−6.8%
- Revenue
- $141.36B−0.8%
- Earnings per share
- $9.12−3.0%
- Revenue
- $144.28B−1.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −1.7%Guidance from the June message confirmed: a range of 1% to 3%, including 1.25 points for the restructuring program.
“That one for the clarification and our guidance, which we confirmed based on our June message and their talk is 1% to 3%, and this includes 1.25 EBIT points for our restructuring program.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 30 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
What happened at Bayerische Motoren Werke
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 50
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Auto (Manufacturers)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Maruti Suzuki IndiaMARUTI.NS $44.24B62
- Mercedes-Benz GroupMBG.DE $44.12B52
- Honda MotorHMC $43.95B52
- Hyundai Motor005380.KS $41.52B49
- VolkswagenVOW3.DE $38.69B42
- Daimler Truck HoldingDTG.DE $35.67B51
- Bajaj AutoBAJAJ-AUTO.NS $32.38B74
- Kia000270.KS $27.5B66
ETFs that hold Bayerische Motoren Werke
Held by 165 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares STOXX Europe 600 Automobiles & Parts UCITS ETF (DE)EXV5 | 12.06% | 0.46% | €162.45M |
| Deka DAXplus Maximum Dividend UCITS ETFEL4X | 7.12% | 0.30% | €252.82M |
| First Trust Germany AlphaDEX UCITS ETFFTGG | 4.55% | 0.75% | €7.02M |
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| iShares STOXX Europe Select Dividend 30 UCITS ETF (DE)EXSH | 3.64% | 0.31% | €1.38B |
| iShares DivDAX UCITS ETF (DE)EXSB | 3.44% | 0.31% | €566.09M |
| Deka EURO iSTOXX ex Fin Dividend+ UCITS ETFELFC | 2.79% | 0.31% | €385.1M |
| L&G Battery Value-Chain UCITS ETFBATE | 2.68% | 0.49% | €668.78M |
| iShares MSCI Europe Consumer Discretionary Sector UCITS ETFESIC | 2.54% | 0.18% | €113.79M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.8987)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 3 Nov 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.