Saul Centers stock
BFSNYSESaul Centers, Inc., Real EstateISIN US8043951016
55Score 55 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
40 / 100
Price history
−4.0% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 15% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 37).
The price is 25% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 68% (November 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$29.87
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$33.40
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)37
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$28.44
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$37.88
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Saul Centers, Inc. belongs to the REIT (Retail) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $702.95M, is number 29 of 37 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $291.57M (up 8.5% year on year) and earnings of $37.51M (down 25.9%).
- MEQIRI Score 55 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 159 of 327 in Real Estate, median 55.
Show more
- For real estate investment trusts (REITs) what counts is funds from operations (FFO and AFFO). The P/E and the payout ratio of earnings say little here, because depreciation on properties depresses earnings.
- Our model puts fair value at $52.71, with the price 46% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 284% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 85
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 8.26%, REIT (Retail) median 5.04%.
- Below fair valuePrice 46% below the fair value of $52.71.Valuation 95
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 3.36 times equity (fiscal 2025), REIT (Retail) median 0.92.Stability 47
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.7 times.Stability 47
Its standout strengths are valuation and fundamentals, while capital allocation and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 54 to 55.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- calm price action
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $43.93 and expensive above $65.89 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $56.37 (cash-flow model) and $49.05 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.5%. At 10.5% the fair value would be $48.45, at 8.5% it would be $58.82.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from FFO per share times the median price to FFO of the REIT industry (13.8). For REITs, depreciation on buildings depresses earnings, so FFO counts instead of earnings, here following the industry rule (Nareit) from the filings with the SEC: gains on property sales are deducted where the company reports them in the standard items. The cash-flow model uses AFFO: operating cash flow less maintenance, estimated at 5% of revenue, and less preferred dividends. New construction and acquisitions do not count as running costs there.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 9.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 4% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 31%, operating 41%, net 13%.
Debt & balance sheet
Fiscal 2025Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 4 Mar 2027in 112 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.27 (expected $0.15)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $0.570.0%
- Revenue
- $311.42M0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $0.800.0%
- Revenue
- $322.02M0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $90,337 in total.
- Pearson David ToddPurchase
28 May 2026, President & COO
- Shares
- 2,600
- Price
- $34.75
- Value
- $90,337
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Saul Centers
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
327 rated companies in Real Estate
- This company
- 55
- Sector median
- 55
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in REIT (Retail)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- FreyFREY.PA $1.19B60
- Retail EstatesRET.BR $1.07B62
- MercialysMERY.PA $1.04B54
- WereldhaveWHA.AS $955.97M57
- Wereldhave BelgiumWEHB.BR $661.58M66
- Vastned BelgiumVASTB.BR $485.91M60
- Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQIGD.MI $483.74M55
- AscencioASCE.BR $411.95M70
ETFs that hold Saul Centers
Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| WisdomTree US Equity Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTDY | 0.05% | 0.35% | €204.34M |
| WisdomTree US High Dividend UCITS ETF AccWTD9 | 0.05% | 0.29% | €182.46M |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.02% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
Show 5 more
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.02% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.01% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.01% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.00% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.00% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 2 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 12 Nov 2026, previously Fairly valued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.