Axon Enterprise stock
AXONNASDAQAxon Enterprise, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US05464C1018
41Score 41 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
26 / 100
Price history
−45% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 33% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 24).
The price is 51% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 86% (October 2007 to November 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$426.24
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$468.55
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)24
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$302.54
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$645.72
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Axon Enterprise, Inc. belongs to the Aerospace & Defense industry (United States) and, with a market value of $25.62B, is number 28 of 114 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.78B (up 33.5% year on year) and earnings of $124.91M (down 66.9%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $3.71B (up 33.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $7.68 (up 12.2%).
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- MEQIRI Score 41 out of 100 (Weak): rank 914 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 102 (Aerospace & Defense median 32.1, own median of recent years 84.1).
- Our model puts fair value at $159.97, with the price 97% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 32.5% a year since 2020, Aerospace & Defense median 10.6%.Growth 70
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 27.6% a year through 2028 (estimates from 12 analysts).Growth 70
Weaknesses
- Richly valuedP/E 102, Aerospace & Defense median 32.1, own median 84.1.Valuation 19
- DilutionShare count up 30% since 2020.Capital allocation 23
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.2 times.Stability 49
Its standout strength is growth, while valuation and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 40 to 41.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- high price swings
- weak fundamentals
What lowers it
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $106.65 and expensive above $319.94 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $220.83 (cash-flow model) and $99.11 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $140.24, at 7.8% it would be $189.66.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (32.1).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 33.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 22% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 60%, operating −2%, net 4%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 23 Feb 2027in 103 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported $1.72 (expected $1.89)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $7.68−0.1%
- Revenue
- $3.71B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $10.57−0.3%
- Revenue
- $4.81B0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: −26.2%Axon cut its 2026 revenue growth outlook to about 30%, from 32% to 34%, because three Federal Dedrone deployments drop out; Axon raised its margin outlook slightly to about 25.6%.
“Combined with the $30 million Federal Dedrone deployment that moved out of Q3, these 3 programs represent approximately $130 million or nearly 500 basis points of growth this year.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 5 Nov 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 8 insiders sold, $57.25M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Fields IsaiahSale
11 Sept 2026, Chief Legal Officer
- Shares
- 1,017
- Price
- $480.45
- Value
- $488,618
- Smith Patrick WSale
8 Sept 2026, CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
- Shares
- 10,000
- Price
- $508.99
- Value
- $5.09M
- Isner JoshuaSale
31 Aug 2026, PRESIDENT
- Shares
- 16,775
- Price
- $574.43
- Value
- $9.64M
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- Kunins Jeffrey CSale
21 Aug 2026, CPO & CTO
- Shares
- 9,605
- Price
- $626.70
- Value
- $6.02M
- Smith Patrick WSale
7 Aug 2026, CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
- Shares
- 70
- Price
- $566.62
- Value
- $39,663
- Smith Patrick WSale
7 Aug 2026, CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
- Shares
- 9,930
- Price
- $548.77
- Value
- $5.45M
- Smith Patrick WSale
7 Jul 2026, CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
- Shares
- 10,000
- Price
- $643.79
- Value
- $6.44M
- Smith Patrick WSale
29 Jun 2026, CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
- Shares
- 10,000
- Price
- $500.00
- Value
- $5M
- Isner JoshuaSale
5 Jun 2026, PRESIDENT
- Shares
- 13,000
- Price
- $488.45
- Value
- $6.35M
- Coughlin Elizabeth ReidSale
4 Jun 2026, Chief Human Officer
- Shares
- 1,554
- Price
- $485.00
- Value
- $753,690
- Brooks CameronSale
4 Jun 2026, CHIEF REVENUE OFFICER
- Shares
- 1,242
- Price
- $500.00
- Value
- $621,000
- Smith Patrick WSale
4 Jun 2026, CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
- Shares
- 20,000
- Price
- $500.00
- Value
- $10M
- Williams JeriSale
1 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 629
- Price
- $469.64
- Value
- $295,403
- Kalinowski Caitlin ElizabethSale
1 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 564
- Price
- $478.97
- Value
- $270,140
- Fields IsaiahSale
22 May 2026, Chief Legal Officer
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $400.00
- Value
- $800,000
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Axon Enterprise
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 41
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Aerospace & Defense
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Kongsberg GruppenKOG.OL $32.59B75
- LeonardoLDO.MI $32.49B62
- Bharat ElectronicsBEL.NS $31.13B70
- Dassault AviationAM.PA $26.19B72
- Hanwha Aerospace012450.KS $25.36B58
- MTU Aero EnginesMTX.DE $21.47B78
- BombardierBBD-B.TO $21.16B66
- Hd Hyundai Heavy Industries329180.KS $20.6B59
ETFs that hold Axon Enterprise
Held by 108 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amundi US Tech 100 Equal Weight UCITS ETF DR USDWEBA | 0.85% | 0.07% | €340.27M |
| iShares S&P 500 Industrials Sector UCITS ETF2B7C | 0.64% | 0.15% | €635.94M |
| Defiance Drone UCITS ETF USDDRON | 0.60% | 0.69% | €32.08M |
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| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Industrials Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDI | 0.60% | 0.15% | €874.42M |
| Deka MSCI USA MC UCITS ETFEL41 | 0.42% | 0.30% | €51.58M |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Industrials UCITS ETF 1CXDWI | 0.34% | 0.25% | €1.21B |
| iShares MSCI USA Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETFQDVC | 0.27% | 0.20% | €268.74M |
| iShares MSCI USA SRI UCITS ETFQDVR | 0.21% | 0.20% | €2.98B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 4 Sep 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.