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AXIA Energia stock

AXIA3.SASAO

UtilitiesISIN BRAXIAACNOR0

$8.46▼ $0.23 (−2.6%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

56Score 56 out of 100, Neutral

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Price and trend

27 / 100

Price history

−23% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 15% below it.

Trend change

Since June 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 17).

Distance to the high

The price is 29% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 89% (January 2010 to July 2013).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$9.72
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$9.90
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)17
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$8.26
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$11.95
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$24.12B
Div. yield
3.98%
12 months
7.3
includes one-off items, adjusted 11.9
Fair value
$6.05

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • AXIA Energia belongs to the Regulated Electric industry (Brazil) and, with a market value of $24.12B, is number 28 of 79 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $7.35B (up 2.7% year on year) and earnings of $1.17B (down 36.8%).
  • MEQIRI Score 56 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 77 of 201 in Utilities, median 53.
Show more
  • Our model puts fair value at $6.05, with the price 40% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • High marginNet margin 41.7% over the last 12 months, Regulated Electric median 14.4%.Profitability 78
  • Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 20.1% a year through 2027 (estimates from 3 analysts).Growth 76

Weaknesses

  • DilutionShare count up 47% since 2020.Capital allocation 46
56/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are profitability and growth, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 57 to 56.

The fundamentals are in the middle range.

Profit consistency90% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)75%
ROIC (12 months)11.5%
Positive free cash flow70% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk not measured

How well MEQIRI warns

For stocks from Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, Canada, India and Brazil we only show crash risk once a separate backtest shows that it warns as well there as in the US and Europe.

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly overvalued
Price
$8.46
Fair value
$6.05
Gap to fair value
+40%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $4.32 and expensive above $10.09 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

Calculated with a cost of equity of 13.5%. At 14.5% the fair value would be $5.18, at 12.5% it would be $7.27.

Valuation metrics

1.44
9.5
Fair value (model)
$6.05

From the dividend model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 4.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 3% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 43%, operating 23%, net 16%. Last 12 months: net 42%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.73
−0.2x
2.13
Cash & equivalents
$5.8B

Debt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
18 Mar 2027in 125 days
Last reported
4 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.15 (expected $0.15)below expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 26 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20262 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.67+0.3%
Revenue
$7.91B0.0%
Fiscal 202710 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.96+0.2%
Revenue
$9.15B0.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 26 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

What happened at AXIA Energia

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

201 rated companies in Utilities

Rank 77 of 201
77/ 201
This company
56
Sector median
53

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 201 companies78 (median 53)25 above the median
GrowthMedian of 201 companies76 (median 53)23 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 201 companies66 (median 52)14 above the median
ValuationMedian of 197 companies with a value49 (median 53)4 below the median
StabilityMedian of 201 companies56 (median 53)3 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 201 companies46 (median 40)6 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 201 companies27 (median 62)35 below the median
MomentumMedian of 201 companies26 (median 57)31 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Regulated Electric

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 79 Regulated Electric stocks

ETFs that hold AXIA Energia

Held by 59 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
iShares Global Clean Energy Transition UCITS ETFIQQH3.92%0.65%€2.52B
Franklin FTSE Brazil UCITS ETF USDFLXB2.79%0.19%€244.05M
iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF USD (Dist)IQQB2.57%0.74%€409.4M
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = R$5.6169)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 1 May 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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