American States Water stock
AWRNYSEAmerican States Water Company, UtilitiesISIN US0298991011
62Score 62 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
79 / 100
Price history
+18% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 11% above it.
Since April 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 74).
The price is 1.7% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 39% (October 2007 to October 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$85.13
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$80.67
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)74
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$70.10
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$91.10
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- American States Water Company belongs to the Regulated Water industry (United States) and, with a market value of $3.55B, is number 5 of 12 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $658.07M (up 10.5% year on year) and earnings of $130.44M (up 9.4%).
- MEQIRI Score 62 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 21 of 201 in Utilities, median 54.
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- The P/E is 24.7 (Regulated Water median 22.8, own median of recent years 32.4).
- Our model puts fair value at $71.38, with the price 25% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 39 years.Capital allocation 51
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 51
Weaknesses
- Above fair valuePrice 25% above the fair value of $71.38.Valuation 37
Its standout strengths are technical analysis and momentum, while valuation holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 61 to 62.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 14 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
What lowers it
- calm price action
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $59.48 and expensive above $89.22 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $59.87 (cash-flow model) and $82.88 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.4%. At 8.4% the fair value would be $64.82, at 6.4% it would be $83.04.
Valuation metrics
Half from the dividend model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (22.8).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 11.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 5% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 51%, operating 31%, net 20%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 17 Feb 2027in 97 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported $1.06 (expected $1.08)in line with expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $3.670.0%
- Revenue
- $712.78M0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $3.820.0%
- Revenue
- $744.7M0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $50,235 in total. 3 insiders sold, $277,660 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at American States Water
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
201 rated companies in Utilities
- This company
- 62
- Sector median
- 54
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Regulated Water
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- American Water WorksAWK $29.8B57
- Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESPSBS $17.35B60
- Essential UtilitiesWTRG $12.87B59
- Guangdong Investment0270.HK $6.91B62
- California Water Service GroupCWT $3.12B54
- H2O AmericaHTO $2.96B55
- Athens Water Supply and SewerageEYDAP.AT $1.65B51
- Middlesex WaterMSEX $1.11B57
ETFs that hold American States Water
Held by 17 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Global Water UCITS ETFIQQQ | 2.10% | 0.65% | €1.95B |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.20% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.16% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
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| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF (Dist)SPYD | 0.14% | 0.35% | €3.62B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.13% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.12% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.12% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| iShares Global Infrastructure UCITS ETF Accum USDCBUX | 0.11% | 0.65% | €217.04M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Nov 2020)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 12 Nov 2026, previously Fairly valued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.