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ATI stock

ATINYSE

ATI Inc., IndustrialsISIN US01741R1023

$190.16▲ $2.63 (+1.4%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

65Score 65 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

80 / 100

Price history

+92% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 8.1% above it.

Trend change

Since May 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 70).

Distance to the high

The price is 18% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 96% (April 2007 to March 2020).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$185.39
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$175.90
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)70
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$94.80
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$231.78
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$25.47B
Div. yield
no dividend
46.7
on reported earnings of the last twelve months
29.7
on earnings for the next twelve months ($6.31 per share)
Fair value
$115.93

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • ATI Inc. belongs to the Manufacturing (Metal Fabrication) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $25.83B, is the largest of 17 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $4.59B (up 5.2% year on year) and earnings of $404.3M (up 9.9%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $5.22B (up 13.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $5.18 (up 60%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 65 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 375 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
  • The P/E is 47.4 (Manufacturing (Metal Fabrication) median 18.2, own median of recent years 12.2).
  • Our model puts fair value at $115.93, with the price 62% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 18.7% a year through 2028 (estimates from 7 analysts).Growth 70
  • High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 15.5% in fiscal 2025, Manufacturing (Metal Fabrication) median 5.2%.Profitability 71

Weaknesses

  • Richly valuedP/E 47.4, Manufacturing (Metal Fabrication) median 18.2, own median 12.2.Valuation 25
65/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are technical analysis and momentum, while valuation holds the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 63 to 65.

The fundamentals are in the middle range.

Profit consistency70% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)76%
ROIC (12 months)19.9%
Positive free cash flow60% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • price up very strongly over the past year
  • high price swings

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly overvalued
Price
$187.53
Fair value
$115.93
Gap to fair value
+62%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $82.81 and expensive above $193.21 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $159.00 (cash-flow model) and $72.86 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $101.38, at 7.8% it would be $137.87.

Valuation metrics

3.3
28.3
Fair value (model)
$115.93
Earnings part $72.86 (earnings per share $4.01 × 18.2)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (18.2).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 27 Sep 2026, revenue rose 9.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 22%, operating 14%, net 9%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.87
5.7x
2.77
Cash & equivalents
$442.3M

Moderate debt, and interest is adequately covered.

Earnings

Next earnings
2 Feb 2027in 82 days
Last reported
29 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.46 (expected $1.37)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20266 analysts
Earnings per share
$5.18+1.3%
Revenue
$5.22B+1.4%
Fiscal 20277 analysts
Earnings per share
$6.47+2.2%
Revenue
$5.74B+1.4%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: +0.2%

ATI raised its full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $1.19 billion to $1.2 billion, $35 million higher than before, and now expects jet engine revenue growth in the low to mid 20% range versus the prior high teens expectation.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We now expect full-year jet engine revenue growth in the low to mid 20% range, up from our prior expectation of high teens growth.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 3 insiders sold, $49.69M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Harris Timothy JSale

    21 Sept 2026, Senior VP and CDIO

    Shares
    9,000
    Price
    $191.82
    Value
    $1.73M
  • Harris Timothy JSale

    14 Sept 2026, Senior VP and CDIO

    Shares
    16,500
    Price
    $193.06
    Value
    $3.19M
  • Harris Timothy JSale

    8 Sept 2026, Senior VP and CDIO

    Shares
    16,500
    Price
    $207.54
    Value
    $3.42M
Show 10 more
  • Morehouse David JSale

    2 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    2,485
    Price
    $201.61
    Value
    $501,001
  • Harris Timothy JSale

    31 Aug 2026, Senior VP and CDIO

    Shares
    16,500
    Price
    $210.01
    Value
    $3.47M
  • Harris Timothy JSale

    24 Aug 2026, Senior VP and CDIO

    Shares
    16,500
    Price
    $206.92
    Value
    $3.41M
  • Fields Kimberly ASale

    17 Aug 2026, Chair, President and CEO

    Shares
    24,845
    Price
    $231.19
    Value
    $5.74M
  • Fields Kimberly ASale

    28 Jul 2026, Chair, President and CEO

    Shares
    31,757
    Price
    $190.99
    Value
    $6.07M
  • Fields Kimberly ASale

    7 Jul 2026, Chair, President and CEO

    Shares
    40,000
    Price
    $182.91
    Value
    $7.32M
  • Fields Kimberly ASale

    24 Jun 2026, Chair, President and CEO

    Shares
    3,783
    Price
    $197.21
    Value
    $746,045
  • Fields Kimberly ASale

    23 Jun 2026, Chair, President and CEO

    Shares
    3,641
    Price
    $197.48
    Value
    $719,025
  • Fields Kimberly ASale

    22 Jun 2026, Chair, President and CEO

    Shares
    13,269
    Price
    $202.48
    Value
    $2.69M
  • Fields Kimberly ASale

    2 Jun 2026, Chair, President and CEO

    Shares
    59,749
    Price
    $179.07
    Value
    $10.7M

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at ATI

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

1023 rated companies in Industrials

Rank 375 of 1023
375/ 1023
This company
65
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 1,023 companies71 (median 53)18 above the median
GrowthMedian of 1,023 companies70 (median 63)7 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 1,023 companies62 (median 71)9 below the median
ValuationMedian of 977 companies with a value25 (median 64)39 below the median
StabilityMedian of 1,023 companies64 (median 65)1 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 1,023 companies51 (median 55)4 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 1,023 companies80 (median 60)20 above the median
MomentumMedian of 1,023 companies79 (median 59)20 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Manufacturing (Metal Fabrication)

The next smaller companies by market value

All 17 Manufacturing (Metal Fabrication) stocks

ETFs that hold ATI

Held by 60 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY40.68%0.30%€5.27B
Deka MSCI USA MC UCITS ETFEL410.33%0.30%€51.58M
iShares MSCI USA Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETFQDVC0.30%0.20%€268.74M
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 28 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 25 Apr 2025)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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