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Arm Holdings stock

ARMNASDAQ

Arm Holdings plc, TechnologyISIN US0420682058

$203.36▲ $21.87 (+12.1%)Closing price of 11 Nov 2026

67Score 67 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

51 / 100

Price history

+36% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 3 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 12% below it.

Trend change

Since April 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 48).

Distance to the high

The price is 54% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 3 years: 62% (June 2026 to November 2026).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$249.89
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$231.96
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)48
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$104.55
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$439.46
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$217.6B
Div. yield
no dividend
234.4
on reported earnings of the last twelve months
74.6
on earnings for the next twelve months ($2.73 per share)
Fair value
no data

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Arm Holdings plc belongs to the Semiconductors industry (United Kingdom) and, with a market value of $217.6B, is number 12 of 185 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • This is an American depositary receipt (ADR).
  • In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $4.92B (up 22.8% year on year) and earnings of $904M (up 14.1%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 67 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 294 of 857 in Technology, median 61.
  • The P/E is 234.4 (Semiconductors median 38.9, own median of recent years 160.2).

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 19.4% a year since 2021, Semiconductors median 9.1%.Growth 78
  • More cash than debtCash $3.6B, financial debt $457M (fiscal 2026).Stability 77
  • Earnings per share growingUp 17.5% a year since 2021.Growth 78

Weaknesses

  • Richly valuedP/E 234.4, Semiconductors median 38.9, own median 160.2.Valuation 10
  • Volatile share priceVolatility 83% a year over the last 12 months.
67/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are fundamentals and growth, while valuation holds the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 65 to 67.

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)126%
ROIC (12 months)15.4%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among the 100 largest stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 17 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 9 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • high price swings
  • price far below its 52-week high

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Overvalued
Price
$203.36
Fair value
not meaningful
Gap to fair value
no data

A fair value is not meaningful here, so the signal follows the valuation grade.

Valuation metrics

13.42
166.6
Fair value (model)
no data

The model puts the fair value at less than a quarter of the share price. That says more about the assumptions than about the company, so a fair value is not meaningful here and the valuation relies on the P/E and the other metrics.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

6 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 23.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2021, at around 19% per year.

Margins

6 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2026: gross 92%, operating 18%, net 18%.

Debt & balance sheet

Fiscal 2026
0.06
> 100x
6
Cash & equivalents
$3.6B

The balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Earnings

Next earnings
3 Feb 2027in 83 days
Last reported
4 Nov 2026above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202722 analysts
Earnings per share
2.24+0.4%
Revenue
$6.13B+0.9%
Fiscal 202824 analysts
Earnings per share
3.03−1.1%
Revenue
$8.4B+1.6%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook mixed

Share price after the results: −1.3%

Second quarter revenue guided to $1.38 billion with license revenue up about 30%, but royalty growth is expected to ease and expectations were lowered versus a couple of quarters ago.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We expect license and other revenue to be up about 30% year-on-year and royalty revenue to be up in the low teens year-on-year.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 29 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q1 2027), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 6 insiders sold, $44.23M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Child JasonSale

    21 Sept 2026, Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    10,400
    Price
    $300.00
    Value
    $3.12M
  • Child JasonSale

    27 Aug 2026, Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    10,400
    Price
    $255.33
    Value
    $2.66M
  • Bartels Laura KathleenSale

    2 Jun 2026, Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    11,306
    Price
    $392.70
    Value
    $4.44M
Show 12 more
  • Abbey WilliamSale

    28 May 2026, Chief Commercial Officer

    Shares
    4,200
    Price
    $343.81
    Value
    $1.44M
  • Abbey WilliamSale

    22 May 2026, Chief Commercial Officer

    Shares
    2,300
    Price
    $305.82
    Value
    $703,386
  • Abbey WilliamSale

    21 May 2026, Chief Commercial Officer

    Shares
    4,655
    Price
    $287.03
    Value
    $1.34M
  • Eaton Charlotte ClaireSale

    21 May 2026, Chief People Officer

    Shares
    7,805
    Price
    $290.01
    Value
    $2.26M
  • Eaton Charlotte ClaireSale

    21 May 2026, Chief People Officer

    Shares
    4,000
    Price
    $282.77
    Value
    $1.13M
  • Abbey WilliamSale

    20 May 2026, Chief Commercial Officer

    Shares
    5,069
    Price
    $257.18
    Value
    $1.3M
  • Child JasonSale

    20 May 2026, Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    31,920
    Price
    $226.54
    Value
    $7.23M
  • Eaton Charlotte ClaireSale

    20 May 2026, Chief People Officer

    Shares
    3,100
    Price
    $252.25
    Value
    $781,975
  • Collins SpencerSale

    19 May 2026, Chief Legal Officer

    Shares
    40,941
    Price
    $215.00
    Value
    $8.8M
  • Abbey WilliamSale

    19 May 2026, Chief Commercial Officer

    Shares
    10,887
    Price
    $224.14
    Value
    $2.44M
  • Grisenthwaite Richard RoySale

    18 May 2026, Chief Architect

    Shares
    24,339
    Price
    $209.15
    Value
    $5.09M
  • Abbey WilliamSale

    15 May 2026, Chief Commercial Officer

    Shares
    7,000
    Price
    $212.55
    Value
    $1.49M

Shares and prices per ordinary share as filed with the SEC, not per depositary receipt.

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Arm Holdings

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

857 rated companies in Technology

Rank 294 of 857
294/ 857
This company
67
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 857 companies76 (median 59)17 above the median
GrowthMedian of 857 companies78 (median 68)10 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 857 companies93 (median 67)26 above the median
ValuationMedian of 788 companies with a value10 (median 52)42 below the median
StabilityMedian of 857 companies77 (median 67)10 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 857 companies62 (median 53)9 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 857 companies51 (median 59)8 below the median
MomentumMedian of 857 companies52 (median 56)4 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Semiconductors

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 185 Semiconductors stocks

ETFs that hold Arm Holdings

Held by 16 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
Xtrackers Future Mobility UCITS ETF 1CXMOV1.12%0.35%€164.07M
HAN-GINS Tech Megatrend Equal Weight UCITS ETF AccT3KE0.59%0.59%€96.5M
Invesco EQQQ NASDAQ-100 UCITS ETF (EUR Hdg)EQEU0.38%0.35%€18.26B
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Mar 2026
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Oct 2026)
  • Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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