Aris Mining stock
ARISNYSEAris Mining Corporation, Basic MaterialsISIN CA04040Y1097
61Score 61 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
45 / 100
Price history
+31% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 17% below it.
Since November 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 46).
The price is 35% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 100% (May 2007 to January 2016).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$17.35
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$17.74
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)46
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$11.25
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$22.68
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Aris Mining Corporation belongs to the Gold industry (Canada) and, with a market value of $3.06B, is number 34 of 53 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $927.66M (up 81.7% year on year) and earnings of $78.35M (up 218.7%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.46B (up 57.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.08 (up 66.7%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 61 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 186 of 467 in Basic Materials, median 58.
- The P/E is 10 (Gold median 12.2, own median of recent years 14.1).
- Our model puts fair value at $48.35, with the price 68% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Below fair valuePrice 68% below the fair value of $48.35.Valuation 97
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 25.5% a year through 2027 (estimates from 2 analysts).Growth 69
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 224% since 2020.Capital allocation 41
- Volatile share priceVolatility 64% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 64
Its standout strengths are valuation and profitability, while technical analysis and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
- price far below its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $32.23 and expensive above $96.70 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $78.60 (cash-flow model) and $18.10 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $41.18, at 7.8% it would be $59.16.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (12.2).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 69.7% on the twelve months before. Revenue turned from negative at the start of the period to positive ($927.66M in the latest year).
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 50%, operating 39%, net 8%. Last 12 months: net 24%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterLow debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 10 Mar 2027in 118 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.35 (expected $0.42)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $2.08−0.7%
- Revenue
- $1.46B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $2.96−1.6%
- Revenue
- $2.06B0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −1.5%2026 production guidance of 300,000 to 350,000 ounces confirmed, with a stronger second half expected.
“So the story for the past half year is one of execution, strong performance from the producing assets, visible progress on the growth projects and a clear path to our 2026 production guidance of 300,000 to 350,000 ounces.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Aris Mining
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
467 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 61
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Gold
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Zhaojin Mining Industry1818.HK $6.56B63
- OceanaGoldOGC $6.18B74
- SSR MiningSSRM $5.6B68
- Centerra GoldCGAU $4.12B72
- Allied GoldAAUC $3.02B58
- Fortuna MiningFSM $2.8B72
- Seabridge GoldSA $2.74B30
- NovaGold ResourcesNG $2.65B29
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 9 May 2025)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.